- 59
- Milton Keynes
Ultimately the question of belief or unbelief is a redundant one. The only logical approach to any problem is to make a judgement based on the available evidence. Anything else is at best assumption, and at worst outright fantasy.
So the gun analogy, you would be best off avoiding statements of belief at all. The logical position is merely to say that based on the available evidence there is insufficient data to be able to make any kind of prediction as to whether the gun will fire or not. Of course, that may not be the case - for instance in a game of russian roulette with one round in the gun, you could say that there is a one in six chance of the gun firing. Statistically if you had to make a prediction then you would have to predict that the gun will not fire. But of course that prediction is not a prediction that the gun absolutely will not fire, rather that the likelihood is that it won't. Or if you know that all six chambers hold a bullet, you would say that there is a statistical probability that the gun will fire, though there is still a possibility that the gun may jam, or that the bullet will fail to go off. Remember, only the Sith deal in absolutes.
To try and pin someone down to making a prediction 100% either way is just a trick; something I see Religionists doing all the time. A trick of the mind to try and get the atheist to admit to there being some kind of possibility that they could be 'wrong', while not really understanding that only an irrational person would ever completely rule out the possibility that they may be wrong. This is because the Religionist wants to equate the Atheist's position as one of a kind of negative 'faith' with all the familiar characteristics of a religion (or a general belief in the supernatural, etc). Atheists, on the whole, are simply rational people who have looked at the evidence and come to the logical conclusion that the existence of a God (as in the kind of personal deity who interacts with the world in which we live) is very very unlikely, due to a lack of evidence. But that doesn't preclude the possibility of fresh evidence arising in the future, and this is the fundamental difference - the atheist, with a scientific approach, will naturally factor any fresh evidence into their opinion, and change it accordingly. The religious person by contrast will not accept evidence, nor revise their understanding of the universe based on any kind of observation. It is not a question of belief, it is a question of probability. Is there a God? Very very unlikely based on the evidence. So what is the rational, logical position? that no such being exists.
So the gun analogy, you would be best off avoiding statements of belief at all. The logical position is merely to say that based on the available evidence there is insufficient data to be able to make any kind of prediction as to whether the gun will fire or not. Of course, that may not be the case - for instance in a game of russian roulette with one round in the gun, you could say that there is a one in six chance of the gun firing. Statistically if you had to make a prediction then you would have to predict that the gun will not fire. But of course that prediction is not a prediction that the gun absolutely will not fire, rather that the likelihood is that it won't. Or if you know that all six chambers hold a bullet, you would say that there is a statistical probability that the gun will fire, though there is still a possibility that the gun may jam, or that the bullet will fail to go off. Remember, only the Sith deal in absolutes.
To try and pin someone down to making a prediction 100% either way is just a trick; something I see Religionists doing all the time. A trick of the mind to try and get the atheist to admit to there being some kind of possibility that they could be 'wrong', while not really understanding that only an irrational person would ever completely rule out the possibility that they may be wrong. This is because the Religionist wants to equate the Atheist's position as one of a kind of negative 'faith' with all the familiar characteristics of a religion (or a general belief in the supernatural, etc). Atheists, on the whole, are simply rational people who have looked at the evidence and come to the logical conclusion that the existence of a God (as in the kind of personal deity who interacts with the world in which we live) is very very unlikely, due to a lack of evidence. But that doesn't preclude the possibility of fresh evidence arising in the future, and this is the fundamental difference - the atheist, with a scientific approach, will naturally factor any fresh evidence into their opinion, and change it accordingly. The religious person by contrast will not accept evidence, nor revise their understanding of the universe based on any kind of observation. It is not a question of belief, it is a question of probability. Is there a God? Very very unlikely based on the evidence. So what is the rational, logical position? that no such being exists.