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I doubt it. I play both GT and Forza and even though I want FM5 unless they add support for the Forza wheels I will not be buying it and I know several others who feel the same way. There is actually a fairly large number of people who are likely to move to GT and other who played both but will not be on 5. As for sales FM5 will likely be lower than 2, 3 or 4 were. GT6 on the other hand will probably sell as many as FM2,3,4 combined.FM5 will crumble GT6
GT4 was a better game no doubt but FM3 has much better graphics. As much as I liked GT4 I have a hard time playing it on an HD tv the picture quality just isn't there. Forza 3 looks good but Forza 2 was actually closer to GT4 in terms of release and Forza 2 was a much better game than Forza 3 as well and looks better than GT4FM3 can't touch GT4 even if it is a different generation.