Forum Messages Approaching 10 Million. Predict Day It Will Occur.

[JockeP22]

With the total number of forum messages ever rapidly increasing (up to 9,807,978 at the moment) on what day do you think it will happen?
I live for statistics and find them very interesting, no matter the subject. It could be fun to look back on, who predicted it correctly and gets bragging rights. I have never come across a forum this big and with these many messages.


My prediction: January 7th

 

[BobK]

Soon.

 

[daan]

Been.

This is post number 10,093,655.

 

[Famine]

Yes, there's nearly 300,000 removed messages, so we're actually at 10.1 million already.

But in terms of visible posts it's not going to be all that long. I think I worked it out as the middle of November a while back, but I'll have another look.

 

[ULTRAVIOLENZZ]

December 11 2014.

Edited:

I thought its November already. LL

 

[Jet Badger]

I did the math a month or so ago. First half of November it should be, given the activity of that time (I reckon it was 4000-5000 posts per 24 hours). If I was to guess now, I'd give it another month extra.

 

[JMoney]

I'm going to guess it happens on Boxing Day (Dec. 26th). In theory there will be an influx of Christmas-related posts the day after.

 

[BobK]

When you factor in deleted and merged posts, I'd think it can get pretty muddied.

If we're talking current total post count, it could possibly happen on two (or more) separate days. We could just clear the total, then a mod or admin may trim a bunch of useless posts/threads, reducing the total back under 10M.

I also can see an uptick in the number of posts-for-the-sake-of-posting just to get the count up quicker.

 

[Lucas]

I'm going to guess it happens on Boxing Day (Dec. 26th). In theory there will be an influx of Christmas-related posts the day after.

This is the best guess. It would be harder to calculate if GT6, let's say, hadn't been released yet. There's a HUGE amount of posts that come from the GT6 section, particularly from new members which post non-sense and stuff like that, especially during the first days of release, not to mention the whole hype the days before.

But with that out of the way, I think Christmas is the day where you can expect a lot of new posts, before New Year at least. Or before someone famous gets killed.

 

[The Bman]

December 7th, 2014.

 

[Aesthetics]

Sometime this year, for sure.

Would there be a reward for getting the 10,000,000th post?

 

[Monatsende]

10,000,000th post? Well, worth a lifetime premium membership. Not?

It`ll happen December 3rd, 2014.

 

[Dean]

I'd guess around November 22nd, so in a good months time. 👍

 

[FT-1]

December 6th 2014, a year after GT6 was released

 

[Daniel]

I'll chuck in a year of Premium to the first person who gets the date right.*

*Unless you're a Lifer, in which case you can choose who it goes to, or GTPEDIA or a lapdance from Danny**

**Danny may or may not consent to this.

 

[Monatsende]

lapdance from Danny**
**Danny may or may not consent to this.

INB4 date guessing hype...

 

[35mm]

Well, all math will go down the toilet the minute PD decides to announce something, but my guess is November 14th.

 

[Cano]

there's nearly 300,000 removed messages

Damn, that's a lot of stuff :0

 

[Danny]

*Unless you're a Lifer, in which case you can choose who it goes to, or GTPEDIA or a lapdance from Danny**
**Danny may or may not consent to this.

Edit: Gif removed. Single frame of boobies.

I'm gonna go ahead and guess the 25th of December, which science has proven to be Jesus' birthday. I think the two events will coincide.

 

[Bopop4]

November 11th

 

[Legro]

November 7th

 

[Anathema]

Nov. 10th.

 

[BobK]

Yes, there's nearly 300,000 removed messages, so we're actually at 10.1 million already.

But in terms of visible posts it's not going to be all that long. I think I worked it out as the middle of November a while back, but I'll have another look.

What is considered a "visible" post? Would the total be higher for Premium members?

 

[Famine]

What is considered a "visible" post?

Not deleted.

 

[Dennisch]

November 3rd.

It will be the post that reminds all of you of my birthday.

 

[Johnny1996]

January 1st, 2015, at 12:00 AM Eastern Standard Time.

 

[Danny]

It will be the post that reminds all of you of my birthday.

Another one? But you had one last year.

 

[Ninners]

December 7th.

 

[Dennisch]

Another one? But you had one last year.

I also expect a lapdance from you, in a burgundy thong.

 

[Flex0r]

I'm guessing the 15th of November.
It appears I was wrong.