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- AverageJoe59
That's what it seems like they're doing...Yes because the entire company shuts down and goes to Germany to take part in it
That's what it seems like they're doing...Yes because the entire company shuts down and goes to Germany to take part in it
Yes because the entire company shuts down and goes to Germany to take part in it
Keep in mind that the previous generation lasted eight years (from 2006 to 2013), so given the relatively minor graphical update compared to previous generations, I'd expect this one to last at least a decade....You know, I just realized something.
Ever since the first GT shipped, there always have been two numbered main GT games per console generation, a tradition PDI seems to stick to, judging by GT6's release schedule.
So then, following this small chain of logic, if GT7 comes out on tail end of 2016, PS4'd be out for three years. Almost without fail, a new console generation comes along every five years (I said almost!!!).
Assuming there're some unforeseen happenstances gracing us in next few years, and the current gen gets extended by a year or two, and the dev time for a hypothetical GT8 takes about three years again, then...
Then won't GT8 launch around the same time as PS5 hits the stores?? Eh? Will that be a repeat of this very sub-forum's topics of late?
Wowsers.
Keep in mind that the previous generation lasted eight years (from 2006 to 2013), so given the relatively minor graphical update compared to previous generations, I'd expect this one to last at least a decade.
...You know, I just realized something.
Ever since the first GT shipped, there always have been two numbered main GT games per console generation, a tradition PDI seems to stick to, judging by GT6's release schedule.
So then, following this small chain of logic, if GT7 comes out on tail end of 2016, PS4'd be out for three years. Almost without fail, a new console generation comes along every five years (I said almost!!!).
Assuming there're some unforeseen happenstances gracing us in next few years, and the current gen gets extended by a year or two, and the dev time for a hypothetical GT8 takes about three years again, then...
Then won't GT8 launch around the same time as PS5 hits the stores?? Eh? Will that be a repeat of this very sub-forum's topics of late?
Wowsers.
Every Sony console has been supported for 10 years, with it's successor launching when it's been out for around 7 years. Maybe Sony will change that approach with PS4, maybe not. But, one thing's certain, they have never launched a new console when the current one is only 5 years old. Same pattern every time so far, launch new console on current one's 7th year, and sell them both side by side until the outgoing one hits 10 years. The only deviation from that was the PS3 launched when PS2 had been out for 6 years and 8 months, but close enough, they still stuck to the ten year product life cycle thing.
Looking back on a lot of hardware cycles most, if not all, consoles were superseded by a superior hardware within five, six years.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_video_game_console_releases_in_North_America
...
Uhm, dude you did check out the link I tried so hard to unearth, right?
That's NA only. It released in '95 in NA, but it released in '94 in Japan. So 6 years between the first two, almost 7 between 2 and 3, and 7 between 3 and 4. They all ran on 10 year product lifecycles though. Although afaik Sony extended the PS2's because it was still selling surprisingly well even when it turned ten.
dear PD and Sony, please consider also releasing on PC platform.
you won't lose sales, in fact, you will at least quadruple them.
no matter, I look forward to the late Dec 2016 release, just in time for the next Sony online outage that will be blamed on the Interview part to or other.
the greatest feature I look forward to, is photo realistic tracks, and a complete sound overhaul.
I'll accept the same car lineup as GT5 and GT6, only if the above can be met.
If they were to release GT to PC people will see no point in buying PS4's which is atleast 10 million consoles remaining unsold.
...Forgive me, I tend to forget the rest of the world exist sometimes...heh.
But the PS2 and PS3 both lasted for 7 or 8 years. And even though the PS4 might not be super high spec at it's release we are seeing Moore's law start to fall off as we are getting really close to the atomic scale. Hardware development is beginning to slow down. And is expected to stop completely in about 10 to 15 years. I would not be surprised if we see the PS4 last until about 2021 or event later, and the PS5 last until about 2030-2035. When the PS6 and all of its slim variants will last a VERY VERY LONG TIME, because hardware development will have reached a standstill, unless something amazing happens. But with our current evidence... Processors won't necessarily get faster after 2030; they might grow larger or become more efficent. But their raw power most likely won't improve, for a very very long time..Eh, a decade is probably not going to be how long this generation lasts. A PC is good for three or four years, because the memory and graphic requirements are insatiable. While I agree that s video game console is a different beast from a computer, a number of people are predicting that this generation may have another five year lifetime like most game consoles had, because both PS4 and XBox have aimed a little low in processing power to make them more affordable. Both for consumers and their producers.
But I can easily see the next generation going 4K, which will require beefier GPUs and more memory. I don't know how much more we really need from a console, when Project CARS can run on PS4 at a nice framerate with 50 freaking cars on track. But then, if we could have more, wouldn't we want more? Draw distance of half a mile? No visible LOD? A space game in which an asteroid field was rendered to incredible detail for thousands of miles? Why not?
Praytell McFly, when did you last use the Delorean to survey the future of hardware developmentBut the PS2 and PS3 both lasted for 7 or 8 years. And even though the PS4 might not be super high spec at it's release we are seeing Moore's law start to fall off as we are getting really close to the atomic scale. Hardware development is beginning to slow down. And is expected to stop completely in about 10 to 15 years. I would not be surprised if we see the PS4 last until about 2021 or event later, and the PS5 last until about 2030-2035. When the PS6 and all of its slim variants will last a VERY VERY LONG TIME, because hardware development will have reached a standstill, unless something amazing happens. But with our current evidence... Processors won't necessarily get faster after 2030; they might grow larger or become more efficent. But their raw power most likely won't improve, for a very very long time..
PD will have plenty of time to continue their 2 games per cycle method for PS4.
You don't need a time machine to see that processors are reaching the atomic level. In which they can no longer "get faster." we've been using the same transistor techniques since the 1980s. They probably predicted it back then. But it probably didn't seem important at the time as they had 40 or 50 years to develop it.Praytell McFly, when did you last use the Delorean to survey the future of hardware development
Moore's law (/mɔərz.ˈlɔː/) is the observation that the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles approximately every two years. The observation is named after Gordon E. Moore, the co-founder of Intel and Fairchild Semiconductor, whose 1965 paper described a doubling every year in the number of components per integrated circuit,[note 1] and projected this rate of growth would continue for at least another decade.[2][3] In 1975,[4]looking forward to the next decade,[5] he revised the forecast to doubling every two years.[6][7][8]
His prediction proved accurate for several decades, and the law was used in thesemiconductor industry to guide long-term planning and to set targets for research and development.[9] Advancements in digital electronics are strongly linked to Moore's law:quality-adjusted microprocessor prices,[10]memory capacity, sensors and even the number and size of pixels in digital cameras.[11]
Digital electronics have contributed to world economic growth in the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries.[12] Moore's law describes a driving force of technological and social change, productivity, and economic growth.[13][14][15][16]
The period is often quoted as 18 months because of Intel executive David House, who predicted that chip performance would double every 18 months (being a combination of the effect of more transistors and their being faster).[17]
"Moore's law" should be considered anobservation or projection and obviously not aphysical or natural law. Although the rate held steady from 1975 until around 2012, the rate was faster during the first decade. In general, it is not logically sound to extrapolate from the historical growth rate into the indefinite future. For example, the 2010 update to theInternational Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors, predicted that growth would slow around 2013,[18] and Gordon Moore in 2015 foresaw that the rate of progress would reach saturation: "I see Moore’s law dying here in the next decade or so."[19]
Intel confirmed in 2015 that the pace of advancement has slowed, starting at the 22 nm node around 2012, and continuing at 14 nm. Brian Krzanich, CEO of Intel, announced that "our cadence today is closer to two and a half years than two.” This is scheduled to hold through the 10 nm node in late 2017.[20]He cited Moore's 1975 revision as a precedent for the current deceleration, which results from technical challenges and is “a natural part of the history of Moore's law.”
On April 13, 2005, Gordon Moore stated in an interview that the projection cannot be sustained indefinitely: "It can't continue forever. The nature of exponentials is that you push them out and eventually disaster happens". He also noted that transistorseventually would reach the limits of miniaturization at atomic levels:
"In terms of size [of transistors] you can see that we're approaching the size of atoms which is a fundamental barrier, but it'll be two or three generations before we get that far—but that's as far out as we've ever been able to see. We have another 10 to 20 years before we reach a fundamental limit."
We will be approximately 64 times more powerful at our peak than at the PS4s release, and about 32 times more powerful than our current tech.There's still a lot of development in those two/three generations to make today's tech look steam powered though. The PS4 is a low tech/low risk console without the great big jump in power that previous generations had because it was a financial decision rather than a tech decision. That means this gen should be replaced sooner rather than later.
The more they ( PD ) keep quite about the game the more the game will be anticipated.....the more the game is anticipated the bigger the sales on launch....it's all about the marketing. PD is in the perfect position at the moment...looking at what all the other games have to offer and will ( should ) go better than PC or anything else on the market at launch date.....GT 7 will be big there is no two ways about that as the PS 4 is arguably the best console out at the moment.Great... Because PD refuses to keep their fans informed about GT7, Google is now our new source for upcoming GT titles, even though there's no solid evidence of GT7 coming in 2016.....
*Sighs*
The PS4 may be the best console, but the best racing game at the moment will be Forza 6. If I haven't had bought a PS4 for Uncharted and GTA I would buy an Xbox for Forza 6 and I wouldn't wait for GT7. PD isn't in a good position because GT5 and GT6 were disappointing games.The more they ( PD ) keep quite about the game the more the game will be anticipated.....the more the game is anticipated the bigger the sales on launch....it's all about the marketing. PD is in the perfect position at the moment...looking at what all the other games have to offer and will ( should ) go better than PC or anything else on the market at launch date.....GT 7 will be big there is no two ways about that as the PS 4 is arguably the best console out at the moment.
Kind of ironic that for two years I've seen numerous people in these forums saying that GT6 sales are poor because of a lack of marketing and hype (untrue but they make the case anyway) and here you are saying that the best marketing is absolute silence.The more they ( PD ) keep quite about the game the more the game will be anticipated.....the more the game is anticipated the bigger the sales on launch....it's all about the marketing. PD is in the perfect position at the moment...looking at what all the other games have to offer and will ( should ) go better than PC or anything else on the market at launch date.....GT 7 will be big there is no two ways about that as the PS 4 is arguably the best console out at the moment.
Kind of ironic that for two years I've seen numerous people in these forums saying that GT6 sales are poor because of a lack of marketing and hype (untrue but they make the case anyway) and here you are saying that the best marketing is absolute silence.