I still think it begs the question - why should we trust Sony's release dates? I trusted Play.com who are a large, usually reliable business and they printed misleading information.
Why are Sony any different in this respect? Who's to say that a company which mislead the public by advertising a game 4 years ago (at E3) to boost sales of their new console won't do it again? They've now released an exact date so we should all start plundering money into their new handheld (again)?...
Because this time there have been multiple hands-on opportunities. We also have a very exact date, with pre-order bonuses announced, and being this close to the date they should be ramping up production of the UMD version any day now.
To have it suddenly disappear at this point would cost them a lot of money in marketing, production, etc. as well as a clear backlash from consumers.
When any game gets to this point it means that it is mostly ready to go and any delay will purely be due to production issues. For example: Little Big Planet was delayed one week from the set release date, but it was not because Sony was making up the date. The game had actualy been shipped and was in the warehouses and storerooms of retailers. But a controversial song in the soundtrack was discovered. Sony called a complete recall on all shipped copies and did a rush job to alter the song, produce a whole new shipment, and get them in stores as quickly as possible.
You will notice that with this generation of gaming almost all games are said to be planned for a release in a certain month, and only after nearly every conceivable development issue is past do they give a solid release date. Even then there are possible issues related to online server problems or content that may cause a delay, but rarely is there any kind of delay that will put a game off for more than just a couple of weeks.
Publishers have gotten wise to the problems involved in announcing realease dates far in advance. And it is not just a video game industry thing. Movies are given release dates a year in advance sometimes, and many of those will change. Sometimes it is due to production issues and other times it is because they don't want to compete against a large blockbuster.
But once Sony gives us an official exact date then it is a safe bet that you will be able to get your game on that date, or near it. There is no precedence to show that a game will just disappear for years this close to release. The worst case scenarios now would be some game breaking quality control issue being discovered in the final stages of testing (assuming it isn't finished) or the physical production facilities having some form of disaster. With the digital copy version being available at the same time though, even production of the physical copy may not be able to delay the launch. And it has been rumored that the game was completed when announced at E3. If that is the case then there is very little that can cause any major delay at this point.
Another thing to give us some reassurance this generation is that with the ability to patch a game small quality issues or glitches do not need to delay a game as a patch can be created to be downloaded at launch. I have gotten many games that have a version 1.01 patch as soon as I start it up. Previously that would mean a delay as the physical game couldn't be made until the problem was fixed.
In short:
- Hands-on availability means it is done or very close to it.
- The Internet allows them to fix things that previously caused delays.
- Sony has already invested a lot of money in getting this game out, which they had not done before.