- 3,984
- Frankfurt am Main
- GTP_mcfizzle
- LotsaMcfizzle
A lot can happen in 3 years.
That's why you shouldn't try to predict wins 3 years out. Even if you are Bill James.
A lot can happen in 3 years.
That's why you shouldn't try to predict wins 3 years out. Even if you are Bill James.
A lot can happen in 3 years.
Are you saying Bill James can predict three years out? Predict trades that may or may not occur? Injuries to current roster plus prospects? Growth and development of current players and prospects? Which prospects will pan out and which will fade away once they reach Double A? There are so many things that can happen over the next three years that making projections is a fools errand. A lot of teams should be future 90 win teams based on their prospects. Very few do.
Bill James recently said in an interview that the Astros will be a 90+ win team in 3 years.
I am not at all worried about the Astros. I know what we have and don't have. I appreciate you trying to cheer me up about the Astros, though.
Now that you're here, Villain, how do you gauge the Dodgers for this season? Can they challenge that team up north (in your case, the defending champions- San Francisco Giants) for the NL West? How do you see the 2013 Los Angeles Dodgers?
They can probably challenge them but these injuries to Greinke and Crawford could hurt them badly. If Greinke does need Tommy John (its possible) that's a huge waste of money.
Over 80 pitches against the Athletics on Saturday, he surrendered five runs on six hits in three-plus innings. He fanned five, walked three and hung a slider that Yoenis Cespedes blasted for a two-run homer.
A scout sitting behind home plate had Lincecum's fastball sitting between 89 and 93 mph.
"His stuff had action, the scout said. "He just had no command today.
Lincecum's problems in 2012 were especially severe in the first inning, when he yielded a major league-high 28 first-inning runs. He also walked a career high 4.4 batters per nine innings last year.
This spring, he's walked seven hitters in 10 2/3 innings. And the Giants say he is stronger and in better shape than he was last spring, when he had lost weight.
But his workload, because of his blisters earlier in camp, remains the lightest of the Giants' rotation. Matt Cain, for example, has worked 20 innings this spring. Madison Bumgarner is at 14 2/3, and Ryan Vogelson at 14.
Best thing about Lincecum's most recent outing is that he went 80 pitches.
Worst thing is that he was still in the fourth inning when he was removed.
Cubs top prospect Javier Baez hit a home run today estimated at 470 feet. It cleared the scoreboard, crossed a road, and landed 6 cars deep in the parking lot. Couldn't even see it land on WGN. It was his 4th home run in his last 5 at bats, two off Team Japan. He won't be coming north this year, likely will start in High A ball and hopefully promoted to AA by end of the season. He is likely to be sent to minor league camp tomorrow or Monday but got some really good experience with Castro missing time with a hamstring strain.
Link
Tim Lincecum doesn't seem to be giving any indication that last year was a fluke:
http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/s...ecum-problem-threatening-to-force-giants-hand
I still don't know what it is that is causing him to not be as effective anymore. Can it be as simple as not repeating his mechanics (the excuse they're using)? That doesn't sound like the kind of problem a pitcher should be having entering his prime (in terms of age). Timmy's a veteran now.
Well he did miss 2 starts because of the blister... The reason he stopped throwing the slider last year was because of the blister problem. He had a different workout routine before the 2012 season which he hoped gave him better endurance but at the same time he lost strength. I always laugh when people talk fastball speed with Timmy. He had a 9.2 K/9 last year which pretty much sets aside any hoax that he doesn't have 'stuff' anymore. Timmy also has never once in his life had even a 'decent' spring.. They are always terrible. 2010 was even worse and things ended up fine that year for us.
Timmy wasn't Timmy last year but he was also unlucky with an absurdly high BABIP. But he also wasn't using his slider as that was his go to pitch for a strike... For most pitchers its their FB but Timmy has so much movement on his its not always one he can count on. The last thing its partially mental.. You saw him the playoffs out of the pen devouring hitters like normal because he was able to go out and not worry about anything like he could when he was younger. He thinks to much about pitch count and hold back a lot... He needs to go back to his old ways of attacking every hitter head on like he did in the playoffs.
Even if he has problems I'm really not that worried because we have such a good rotation and deep bullpen.
I think one of those Cactus League sites is that ballpark in Tempe, AZ with some scenic views.
No, it was Tempe Diablo Stadium I was referencing to. The view of the hills around that stadium are very nice. It's probably my favorite of the Cactus League stadiums.
That kid can hit. I've been following the Cubs farm system for the last year. Jorge Soler and Gerardo Concepción were great adds for them as well. THe Cubbies are going to be good, and soon.
No, it was Tempe Diablo Stadium I was referencing to. The view of the hills around that stadium are very nice. It's probably my favorite of the Cactus League stadiums.
Lmao and they signed Ryu... I think they panicked last second and told them to to fill the check.
First the Grienke contract, I'm in no way shape or form saying hes a bad pitcher, because hes good. But outside of his excellent 09' season he has been a relatively average #2 or a good #3.
Career whip of 1.2, 8.9 h/9, 3.77 ERA, 114 ERA+ and hes moving to a league with much bigger stadiums which won't help his h/9 numbers. He will be making 24 Million a year which is double what the typical going rate of similar performing pitchers. Are the Dodgers that oblivious? Or do they just want names and not performers? Not to mention in his only two post season starts we was beyond terrible. I haven't even mentioned the guy is a headcase that prefers not to be in the limelight.
Now for Ryu. I love that people from other countries come to the US/Canada to play ball... What I don't like is some of the money they throw up for a guy who more likely won't succeed, or be anything more then average. Yu Darvish is a perfect example, while it was his first year... hes supposed to be an elite pitcher... His year really wasn't that great and had a similar walk rate to Lincecum did this year. Now the Dodgers just dropped another $50 million (bid and contract money combined) for a guy who hasn't pitched a single inning in MLB or MiLB. Not to mention Puig who (while young and talented) was given 42 Million to sit around in the minors... Because all 3 current OFers have recently signed longer term very expensive contracts. A serious waste of money.
Across 9 players they will have $150 Million per year, the next 16 players will either be cheap and young (requires a farm that they don't have) or be average-below average bench players. Something they don't want. They will be looking at $220-$250 if they want decent players. The only elite players they have are Kemp and Kershaw. A lot of the players in 3-4 years will be looking like Alfonso Soriano, a slightly above replacement level person dragging the team behind with a large contract. With the inability to move the player they won't be able to overpay another played to replace him with, so they either DFA them which never happens and continue paying the contract and get nothing in return plus pay another person to play in his place so your essentially paying for two while only having one. Or you will have a very average team with no hope to make the playoffs until a few contracts will be gone.
And I haven't even mentioned the luxury tax and they will be paying $60-80 million a year in that which puts them ABOVE $300 Million a year. lol
Besides how many times has a team gone all out and been successful? The Marlins flailed. The Red Sox flailed hard (and obviously those players flailed with the Dodgers last year). The Angels somewhat flailed, but one of the two players in that deal is probably actually somewhat worth the contract. Rangers made lots of major moves and so far none of them got them a ring. 2009 Yankees are the only team that did it one year and were successful with it, but those contracts are starting to drag the team as they are trying to get below the Lux tax because they saw how much it hurts.
A few years ago the Mariners went out of their mind and made a ton of moves and everyone thought they would be great but they didn't go anywhere but the cellar. The Brewers bolstered there team and destroyed their farm system only to get to the NLCS once. The Cubs used to actually be a good team, they signed lots of major contracts to sub-star players only to get what they didn't pay for. Loyal fans in a major market, owners with lots of money what could go wrong? Lol.
The Dodgers could of at least picked a better year to go all out on Free Agency... this year sucked.