2022 US Mid-Term Elections Thread

  • Thread starter ryzno
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lol



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Season 1 Nbc GIF by The Good Place


I mean I'm okay with guns. I've had guns for decades. But that sort of fetishism is...well, it's offputting, just as described. I think that Walther might look like a Jackson Pollock painting when viewed under a blacklight.


"I like guns" is apparently an ad for US Senator. The group he's trying to appeal to sucks.
 
That's what I noticed. Odd that that didn't occur to him.

Smerconish lays out what's happening in conservative media:


LOL that the "sensible" side of the GOP still wants to blame Biden for worldwide inflation and record job losses. Surprised they don't try to pin the pandemic on him too.
 
lol RED WAVE is going to net the GOP negative 1 Senate seat and probably the House by a couple seats (but maybe not even that) now that they seem to have lost Nevada.
 
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It must have been a negative wave.

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Guess it's all over bar the election denial tantrums now.


The conservative ire for the guy who picked Kari Lake is probably going to intensify after this. No amount of Vaseline smeared on her camera lens is going to make her look good now.
 
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lol RED WAVE is going to net the GOP negative 1 Senate seat and probably the House by a couple seats (but maybe not even that) now that they seem to have lost Nevada.
When they said a red wave would sweep across America, I don't think they planned on it being butthurt gammon face.

An English political term.

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Let's be clear about all this: Trump winning in 2016 was a fluke. He's not some kind of political savant - he's just a guy who happened to be in the right place at the right time and to everyone's surprise (not least his own) won. Since 2016 he has lost every nationwide election he has been a factor in.

Lindsay Graham is emblematic of the entire Republican movement:

 
Trump-backed far-right Joe Kent primaried moderate Republican incumbent Jaime Herrera Beutler, who held the seat for six consecutive congressional sessions (from 2011) and voted to impeach Trump in 2021. Kent then lost the general election to moderate Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez.

 
Another very important win for Democrats was in Arizona in the Secretary Of State election. Endorsed by Trump, the on record election denier Mark Finchem was beaten by the former Maricopa county recorder Adrian Fontes. Fontes ran the elections in the largest county in the state and was in charge in 2020.

Finchem had said in the debate that in 2020 if he was in charge he would have excluded the results in Maricopa and Yuma counties because those elections were "hopelessly compromised". So he would have handed Trump the win. There are several conservative candidates running in Secretary of State races that also have indicated they will exclude huge areas just because they feel there's no way Republicans can be beaten fair and square. If a Republican loses, something went wrong, if the Republican wins, everything was normal.

Finchem was asked in a separate interview if there was any way that a Democrat candidate for President could win Arizona, he responded by hitting some stupid button on his desk that said "No, no, no".

He was part of last weeks John Oliver show looking at voting processes and how Republicans planned to attack them. So I'm very glad he was beaten.

 
I wonder if the Republicans are going to re-think their strategy of backing Trump for 2024? I can't see any scenario where a Trump-led ticket will lead to any improvement over the disastrous results they had during the mid-terms. Unless the Democrats are foolish enough to have Biden run for a 2nd term (or worse, go for Sanders), Trump will not be winning a general election and that would be the fourth straight election (including the midterms) that he managed to lose the GOP seats.
 
I wonder if the Republicans are going to re-think their strategy of backing Trump for 2024? I can't see any scenario where a Trump-led ticket will lead to any improvement over the disastrous results they had during the mid-terms. Unless the Democrats are foolish enough to have Biden run for a 2nd term (or worse, go for Sanders), Trump will not be winning a general election and that would be the fourth straight election (including the midterms) that he managed to lose the GOP seats.
The Republicans will not learn a thing. Every time they lose, they believe it’s because they weren’t conservative enough, and come back more extreme the next time.
 
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The Republicans will not learn a thing. Every time they lose, they believe it’s because they weren’t conservative enough, and come back more extreme next time.
Easier to create some more manufactured outrage or rig the voting system some more to exclude voters than actually change their policies to appeal to more people. Grievance over policy.
 
I'm sorry, I had to switch off after forty seconds as I don't feel those ****ers are worth a whole minute of time to watch.

They might have to modify the name of their channel a little though. According to Google Victory Channel was set up by Kenneth "HAHAHA" Copeland. I bet he's not laughing now.

I don't think Democrats will tax political churches though. Some of them support liberals and progressive ideas too. I used to have an MLK avatar before Mariah took it over for the holiday season.



I agree with Trump's final sentence here but he seems butt hurt that making things easier for voters hurts his party. Like, cry me a river of salty tears.



I watched this week's episode of The Problem With Jon Stewart and the general consensus there seemed to be that news channels rely on inaccurate opinion polling in the absence of any hard information and then create talking points based around this distorted impression which creates a negative feedback loop of disinformation when they then broadcast those points to the public.

Some boomers we rang are worried about crime? Let's make that the main topic of our coverage in the runup to the polls and make it clear that the GOP are the only ones who can fix it. When people end up voting to preserve their reproductive rights and our predictions are rendered worthless, why, then the results must be wrong! Right?
 
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Someone help me out here. If these Truths are true, don't they constitute tfg admitting to interfering with an ongoing election?

Trump election interference.jpg
 
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I'm sorry, I had to switch off after forty seconds as I don't feel those ****ers are worth a whole minute of time to watch.
... and yet, you seem to have no problem spending time reading Trump's tweets. 🥴

As I posted earlier, Michael Moore (FWIW) predicted the account of this election, just as he predicted Trump winning the 2016 election. From what I'm hearing, Republicans gained about 2 million more of the popular vote than Democrats in these mid-terms. This is dramatically different from what occurred in 2020 and even 2016. I thought Democrats need to considerably outperform Republican in the popular vote to stand any chance of winning? But perhaps that's only true in the vote for the Presidency?
I watched this week's episode of The Problem With Jon Stewart and the general consensus there seemed to be that news channels rely on inaccurate opinion polling in the absence of any hard information and then create talking points based around this distorted impression which creates a negative feedback loop of disinformation when they then broadcast those points to the public.

Some boomers we rang are worried about crime? Let's make that the main topic of our coverage in the runup to the polls and make it clear that the GOP are the only ones who can fix it. When people end up voting to preserve their reproductive rights and our predictions are rendered worthless, why, then the results must be wrong! Right?
I think it might actually be a fairly complex interplay of factors. Turn out is very important and that seems to be what has driven the Trump strategy over the last three elections. Get people riled up enough and they will turn out to vote in numbers that will bring victory. But Trump's negatives appear to have out weighed that in the 2020 and 2022 elections. There are fairly detailed breakdowns of voting demographics after the fact, but I came across this description of what happened i the 2020 election which is interesting:

The table package shows patterns of voter turnout by race, Hispanic origin, age and other characteristics such as educational attainment and family income. As with past elections, a higher share of women (68.4%) than men (65.0%) turned out to vote. Voter turnout also increased as age, educational attainment and income increased. Voter turnout was highest among those ages 65 to 74 at 76.0%, while the percentage was lowest among those ages 18 to 24 at 51.4%. Overall, voter turnout increased as age increased, with the exception of 75-plus which had a turnout rate that was below 65-74 year-olds and not significantly different than the turnout for 55 to 64 year-olds. High school graduate turnout was 55.5%, while turnout for those with a bachelor’s degree was 77.9%. Overall, voter turnout increased as income increased, with the exception of those in the income ranges $10,000-$14,999 and $15,000-$19,999, which had turnouts that were not significantly different. For people whose income was $100,000-$149,999, turnout was 81.0%, while for people whose income was $30,000-$39,999, turnout was 63.6%.

The participation of older voters is much higher than younger voters, 76% as opposed to 51.4%. The participation of those with a bachelor's degree is higher than that at 77.9%. The participation of higher income voters is higher still at 81%. Overall, without the higher participation of women voters the Democrats would be screwed. White men vote Republican by a large margin - even white women vote more Republican.

I can see that both Republicans and Democrats always have to balance their centrist appeal to "moderates" against their ability to motivate the base. Trump and the MAGA crew seem to have been focused on motivating the base rather than appealing to independents ... and this doesn't appear to have been a successful strategy in the last two elections.
 
AP news and other sites are reporting 217 seats for Republicans in the house, so that's pretty much a guaranteed majority now. Boebert will probably take the election in her district among others.
As I posted earlier, Michael Moore (FWIW) predicted the account of this election, just as he predicted Trump winning the 2016 election. From what I'm hearing, Republicans gained about 2 million more of the popular vote than Democrats in these mid-terms. This is dramatically different from what occurred in 2020 and even 2016. I thought Democrats need to considerably outperform Republican in the popular vote to stand any chance of winning? But perhaps that's only true in the vote for the Presidency?
It depends on which votes they're counting. If it's for the Senate the Democrats had less seats up for election in this cycle.
 
... and yet, you seem to have no problem spending time reading Trump's tweets. 🥴
Videos and text are different. If Trump's Truths took more than two minutes to read each time, I'd disengage with them too. Whoever the lead speaker in your video was, his point about God saying "I got this" was near the beginning. The remainder of the video didn't seem to be making any new points.
I can see that both Republicans and Democrats always have to balance their centrist appeal to "moderates" against their ability to motivate the base. Trump and the MAGA crew seem to have been focused on motivating the base rather than appealing to independents ... and this doesn't appear to have been a successful strategy in the last two elections.
Their base is shrinking and it seems Democrat leaders have decided to let the GOP motivate their own base instead.
 
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