Danoff
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Apparently he was elected to the senate in 2010 as a Democrat and the vast majority of the state leaned blue for him. He was previously the second Democratic governor WV had had in a row, and before that the state flip-flopped red and blue since the late 60s but had been majority blue for the entire 20th century. Even after Manchin left, the next two WV governors were also blue until 2017, after which Jim Justice switched his party to Republican during his first term. Yeah, that's right - WV elected a blue governor in 2016 who then proceeded to switch Red with the swelling of the Trumpian tide, or rather a Trump rally in WV in August 2017. West Virginians were bamboozled and they liked it. During the 2020 gubernational election, every single county went red, an approximately 70% reversal from the previous election.
WV having a history of being blue is apparently the norm. But Blues switching Red at the behest of Trump is absolutely unusual and stinks of quid pro quo, just as basically every other aspect of Trump's presidency. More evidence of the Republican prerogative to completely ignore their constituents and follow Trump's lead.
Edit: In 2018 the Republican transition of WV was nearly complete with Manchin scraping by on 49.6% of the vote to hold his Senate seat.
This suggests to me that Manchin will definitely not win his 2024 election as a Dem unless the political tides change again. I wouldn't put it past him to simply switch his party to give Republicans the majority. All of this evidence suggests he is absolutely working in lockstep with Republicans to derail Democratic efforts to accomplish anything and simply lying about it.
His stated goal is to not vote for something unless it's "bi-partisan", meaning he won't vote for it unless it has republican support... which... that does seem to make him a republican, at least in terms of policy. It's a weird statement, to arbitrarily align with the "other" side. He's not saying that there's anything wrong with a particular piece of legislation, but that it's somehow inherently wrong for republicans to not support it.
This means the democrats have no chance of passing something without republican support, and since the filibuster is in place, that's at least 10 votes. Meaning basically nothing will happen. I presume the only way the COVID-19 package got passed was because republicans voters supported it, even though none of their representatives voted for it in the Senate.
Well, democrats may not be rallied and energized by that lack of change, and anti-democratic efforts will continue in red states, but maybe some of the idiotic fear mongering won't stick either. So on the one hand, democrats may have trouble rallying the base. On the other hand, centrist voters will be harder to scare.
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