McLaren almost certain to take the title absent two Ferrari maximums and very low or no-scores for McLaren. Ferrari guaranteed at least second, ten points between 3rd and 4th, HaAsPinetonas still locked together over 5th, VCARB in an almost no-man's land in 8th, 8pt between the bottom two...
FACC coming up with a title result before the real world is rare, but it happened this year with McLaren taking the title a race earlier than the final round it took in reality. However, the rest of the championship (which is more what FACC is about) was way, way wilder:
1
McLaren
433
2
Ferrari
405
3
Mercedes
331
4
Red Bull
291
5
Aston Martin
178
6
Haas
169
7
Alpine
167
8
VCARB
153
9
Sauber
112
10
Williams
89
The other thing FACC chucks out is a much clearer picture of driver pairings and... whew.
By far - far - the most unbalanced top team was Red Bull. In another exceptionally rare situation, every single one of the team's 291 points came from Perez which, as you know, means Perez never finished ahead of Verstappen when both cars finished. This and the fact they have five no-scores is absolutely the reason they were nowhere this year in FACC.
Championship-winning McLaren was surprisingly unbalanced too, with Piastri outscoring Norris by 284 to 149, but the best of the top four. McLaren didn't actually register a single non-scoring round - the two cars always finished - but it also suggests that the team's (eventual) choice to focus on Norris for the WDC was absolutely the right thing to do. Norris beat Piastri in nine of the first 12 rounds and was 16:8 ahead at the end of the season.
The other top two teams were also really unbalanced. Hamilton:Russell was 68.9% to 31.1% as Russell finished ahead 14 times to Hamilton's six. Sainz:Leclerc was about the same at 67.7%:32.3% and 15 to 7. That paints Sainz's departure in a different light, but still questions if Hamilton is the right replacement...
Ferrari - 405 - Leclerc 131 (32.3%), Sainz 274 (67.7%)
Mercedes - 331 - Hamilton 228 (68.9%), Russell 103 (31.1%)
The two best-balanced teams were Alpine and Sauber, but they were generally so slow it didn't matter - and in fact both were more out of kilter but for one high-scoring result.
Gasly eventually outscored Ocon by 87:80, but 25 points of Gasly's total came in one race: Brazil. If not for that it would have been well in Ocon's favour - marking him out as the slower of the two drivers and making the reasons for the split more obvious. Something similar applies to Sauber where Bottas shows as only narrowly the #1 driver with Guanyu outscoring him 59:53, but Bottas had the highest score of the season in the penultimate race and accounting for almost a third of his points. Not that it matters as the team shuffled entirely for 2025.
VCARB gets chaos points, but also its decision to get rid of Ricciardo looks a bit poor - and Red Bull's decision not to promote Tsunoda even worse.
At the time he departed he was outscoring Tsunoda (and therefore more often behind his team mate) but only by 38:66. Lawson outpointed Tsunoda in the first race, followed by a no-pointed, but then the team had an unbroken run of four straight Lawson scores to the end of the season to end 48:105 - so Ricciardo was more effective as a team-mate and Tsunoda beat both anyway. It all seems pretty stupid.
The only team to hold a candle to Red Bull's balance was Williams. Only Colapinto's COTA race prevented an Albon shutout, and despite closing right in on Sauber at one point the fact they only scored once in the last seven races (three retirements for Colapinto - more than Sargeant had managed all season - and three plus a DNS for Albon) kept them last. Colapinto did score two of the three best FACC finishes, in Italy and Azerbaijan, for a combined 28pt, before going on a no-score run, but Sargeant seemed a steadier hand even if he was rubbish.
Williams - 89 - Albon 6 (6.7%), Sargeant/Colapinto 83 (93.3%)
That leaves Haas and Aston Martin where, predictably, Hulkenberg and Alonso blew their team-mates away - 76.3:23.7 at Haas, 72.5:27.5 at Aston. One had a consequence, the other didn't - also in a predictable fashion:
Aston Martin - 178 - Alonso 49 (27.5%), Stroll 129 (72.5%)
Haas - 169 - Magnussen 129 (76.3%), Hulkenberg 40 (23.7%)