Russian tanks enter South Ossetia, Georgia declares war

  • Thread starter Greycap
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Did you guys see that footage of a Turkish TV crew getting shot at by the Russians, how they all didn't die with bullets flying through the window is beyond me..... :ill::eek:



Robin
 
Did you guys see that footage of a Turkish TV crew getting shot at by the Russians, how they all didn't die with bullets flying through the window is beyond me.....
Saw this footage too, and I was amazed that noone was seriously hurt here. However, they later said that these guys were not shot at by Russians, rather than a South-Ossetian guerilla group. That changes the whole story a bit, because the guerillas could be out to blame the Russians to destabilize the fresh peace.
 
It was posted just a few posts back.

How many press agents have been shot or shot at? A lot. Russians will shoot anything that isn't in Russian uniform.
 
I can understand a little saber rattling now and then to try and get your point across, but the Russians are calling our bluff. Its time to just back away slowly and let the Europeans handle it.
"Let the Europeans handle it." In other words, pour fuel on the hot ashes, throw a match and then disappear from the scene because it wasn't that fun anymore when it got out of hands and burned down the house?

All the Americans trying to speak politically to save their own hide in a conflict they're spurred is seriously beginning to disgust me. If the Yanks cause the Russians to go steamrolling over eastern Europe they'd better be here to help us before there's no Finland, no Estonia, no Latvia, you name it. Not a single big mouthed American politician is going to fight the "liberators" but I will be sent to the front line during the first week if the war begins here.

We've heard a lot of boasting how America will help the small countries in case of a conflict and save the world, in reality they're cowards hiding somewhere while our countries are wiped off the maps as now seen in Georgia. Saying something unfortunately doesn't equal doing it and I seriously hope I don't have to lose my home, my country, even my life fighting a war some militaristic American with an overly big ego has caused to begin.

Note: this wasn't a rant towards the nationals of the countries mentioned, only a rant towards their leaders. "America" equals White House and "Russia" equals Kreml. I know both nice Americans and nice Russians but the leaders of both countries are class A lunatics.
 
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Do you notice how when theres either no significant oil fields in the country or plenty of expats to save every country doesn't touch the situation with a barge pole... No EU countries (apart from France) or the US wants to get involved because theres more to upset and nothing to gain... it does literally seems like most countries want Russia and Georgia to 'fight it out themselves' which I think is tragic... I expected to see the whole UN force descend the minute the crisis happened but NO.....

Robin
 
Thats true, everyones in it for thier own gain at the end of the day. If they have nothing to gain then the closest they get is casual observers, it's sad really but the economy is more important than peace these days.
 
OK, I don't know what's going on at all, but this war seems big enough to be important. So, does anyone wanna PM me or post here a summary of what's happened thus far? Thank you.
 
Do you notice how when theres either no significant oil fields in the country or plenty of expats to save every country doesn't touch the situation with a barge pole... No EU countries (apart from France) or the US wants to get involved because theres more to upset and nothing to gain... it does literally seems like most countries want Russia and Georgia to 'fight it out themselves' which I think is tragic... I expected to see the whole UN force descend the minute the crisis happened but NO.....

Robin

U, huh, N, hoo... what is it good for? Absolutely-- nothin'.
 
Thats true, everyones in it for thier own gain at the end of the day. If they have nothing to gain then the closest they get is casual observers, it's sad really but the economy is more important than peace these days.

See:

- The Balkans
- Darfur
- Tibet
- Burma
- Zimbabwe

...etc...

Its something to be expected (at least for me). I think its nice that we here in the US are at least giving the proper rhetorical support to Georgia (Germany is too?), but nevertheless, we wouldn't go in to help unless everyone else goes in. I really wouldn't think that would happen at this moment.

As far as the UN is concerned, as the motto here in the AQ Poli Sci department goes "organizations are only as strong as strong states make them." If only the US and Germany are going to sign on to fight, France wants peace, the UK is staying out of it, and it involves Russia... You bet your ass it isn't going to get far in the Security Council.

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RE: Greycap, letting Europe fight

I don't mean anything bad by what I had said, but nevertheless, I'm in the group of Americans who know that many of the states in Europe are well equipped to fight a war with Russia (as paid for by the United States), and with an increasing amount of European states wishing to act on their own and defend democracy in their own way... Why not allow Europe to take care of this event that is happening right in their own backyard?

Worse comes to worse, the US would get involved. To paraphrase Churchill, Americans will do what is right after exhausting every other option. In the face of Russia, however, it seems likely that cooperate action with our NATO allies wouldn't be too much of a problem. That is, if it ever came to it...
 
TIMESONLINE
Georgia forced to accept a Russian occupation​


Tony Halpin in Tbilisi


President Saakashvili was forced to accept defeat yesterday as he signed a peace agreement that gives the Russian Army the right to patrol on Georgian soil.

In a critical amendment to the ceasefire drawn up by President Sarkozy of France, the Kremlin forced Mr Saakashvili to accept that Russian troops could control a buffer zone of Georgian territory up to 10km beyond the border of the breakaway region of South Ossetia.

Mr Saakashvili was humiliated further when the final text of the agreement, delivered personally by Condoleezza Rice, the US Secretary of State, removed a reference to Russian recognition of Georgia’s territorial integrity. It referred only to independence and sovereignty, a day after Ser-gei Lavrov, the Russian Foreign Minister, said that the world could forget about Georgia’s territorial integrity.

After signing the peace agreement, an emotional Mr Saakashvili said defiantly: “A significant part of Georgian territory remains under foreign military occupation. Never, ever will Georgia reconcile itself with the occupation of even one square kilometre of its territory.”

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article4543728.ece
This part of the article also caught my attention:
Officials say that these additional powers would expire as soon as a team of international monitors arrived to observe the ceasefire. However, President Medvedev reinforced Russia’s diplomatic supremacy in a meeting with Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, at his residence in the Black Sea resort of Sochi, close to Georgia’s other breakaway region of Abkhazia.

He rejected her insistence that Georgia’s territorial integrity was a “basic point” for any peace settlement in the Caucasus. In a clear signal that the Kremlin is preparing to recognise Abkhazia and South Ossetia’s independence, he reclaimed Russia’s right to be the sole arbiter of the region’s future shape. “If someone continues to attack our citizens, our peacekeepers, then of course we will answer just as we did,” Mr Medvedev said
I'm glad to see that these "additional powers" conditionally expire. Part about Russians preparing to recognize independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia made me think. I wonder if the West would cut their losses, and use this as a political chip. Russians can recognize all they want, but I'm sure they'd be happier if the West recognized Abkhazia and South Ossetia's independence as well.

Part of the article that made me shake my head was this:
Mr Saakashvili railed against the West for failing to pay attention to the emerging Russian threat and for not extending support to Georgia’s application for Nato membership in April.
Maybe he really was tricked into all this by the Russians, I don't think we'll ever know. Unless some document popup like 40 years from now about how all this was drawn up by Putin's boys. But the fact is, he was intent on taking back the control of South Ossetia. And that blowing up in his face, he can not blame on NATO or the U.S.
 
RE: Greycap, letting Europe fight

I don't mean anything bad by what I had said, but nevertheless, I'm in the group of Americans who know that many of the states in Europe are well equipped to fight a war with Russia (as paid for by the United States), and with an increasing amount of European states wishing to act on their own and defend democracy in their own way... Why not allow Europe to take care of this event that is happening right in their own backyard?
Well equipped unfortunately doesn't mean we have the sheer volume of men and equipment to take on the Russians. Finland is a good example of that, our fighter squadrons are equipped with the excellent F-18C but we have a whopping 63 of them. The Russians have a couple of thousands of MiGs to deploy. Our tank equipment consists of 124 Leopard 2A4 battle tanks and 45 CV9030 assault tanks while the Russians have, again, a couple of thousands of tanks to deploy. Better training and better equipment means nothing in cases like this. That's why I'd like somebody else to help us out of a situation that same "someone" has cooked if it's necessary but I doubt it happening because as Dave A said, it's economy that counts and cheap oil is more important than a couple of small countries on the Russian borders.
 
Some experts will say that training and equipment makes the difference. Russia and China weren't doing that great in those departments last decade or two or more, but that's starting to change.
 
Well, if Georgia Wasn't Enough, What About Poland?

The Huffington Post
On Wednesday, Russia's Foreign Ministry issued a statement saying the U.S. missile shield plans are clearly aimed at weakening Russia and that Moscow's response to their further development will go beyond diplomacy.

Many Poles consider the agreement a form of protection at a time when Russia's invasion of Georgia has generated alarm throughout Eastern Europe. Poland is a member of the European Union and NATO, and the deal is expected to deepen its military partnership with Washington.

Its the missile shield that is going to cause a problem, we'll have to see how Russia tries to play ball. I doubt that they are stupid enough to attack a NATO member, but either way, its a bit scary that they'd even consider it.
 
Well, if it's the "consideration", probably both Russians & Americans have considered nuking everyone outside the alliance. In case of a full scale nuclear war, it was understood that both Superpowers had plan(s) to hit everyone with their nukes.

Joining missile defense shield would probably guarantee that Russians would hit you with something in case of such nuclear shootout.
 
Joining missile defense shield would probably guarantee that Russians would hit you with something in case of such nuclear shootout.

Not that it would really matter in a nuclear shootout because... afterall... it's a nuclear shootout.
 
I think it would really suck if we got through the Cold War only to go to nuclear conflict because Georgia tried to force their way into NATO.
 
You have to say that the timing of the signing of this new missile shield agreement/treaty is truly remarkable, in more ways that one... Sections of the media have mentioned Putin's "paranoia" about the possibility that these events are being orchestrated by a Neo-Conservative agenda in the US, hellbent on keeping Russia in their place now and for a good long while into the future... It doesn't seem all that paranoid to me, though. However much I hope that countries like Georgia and Ukraine should be able to choose their own paths, and serve their own interests first, it seems unlikely given that the US and Russia are happy to use these states as pawns in their own "Great Game"... and however much well-meaning Euro states might applaud "democracy" and Georgia's "right" to independence etc., we shouldn't also forget that there are power-brokers (namely the US and Russia) who don't really give a damn who or what controls Georgia, just so long as they fall down on their side of the fence when all is said and done...
 
It's not paranoia, it's common sense. Remember how we freaked out during the Cuban crisis? This is almost the equivalent from a Russian perspective.
 
we shouldn't also forget that there are power-brokers (namely the US and Russia) who don't really give a damn who or what controls Georgia, just so long as they fall down on their side of the fence when all is said and done...

I don't think that's fair - in more ways than one. First, you spout US and Russia in the same breath as though we had as much to do with this as Russia. The US isn't dropping bombs or killing people over there. In fact, I can't remember the last time the US did something so blatantly expansionist. (And no, Iraq doesn't even come close) I think it's a big mistake to treat the US as being on equal moral footing as Russia.

Edit: And secondly, you assume that the US doesn't really care what the government structure is like as long as that government favors us. Again, I completely disagree. We may tolerate a non-hostile totalitarian government, but Americans are firm believers in every human being's right to representation in his/her government - or at least we used to be.

It's not paranoia, it's common sense. Remember how we freaked out during the Cuban crisis? This is almost the equivalent from a Russian perspective.

And yet... missiles seem so very different than representative government.
 
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Yea, these days you hear things like "Who are we to criticize their murderous dictatorship - at least it keeps people safe."
 
Maybe the whole "funding overthrows of people-supported communist governments" made Americans cynical.

Does every thread have to be about how much people hate America and American policy? Russia has invaded a nation and brutally killed people and we have to discuss how evil America is?

Not to mention the fact that I don't see how this statement is even remotely related to mine. What does US foreign policy have to do with the reasoning used to determine that human beings have a right to representation in their government? What does any nation's foreign policy have to do with that?

The criticism was that Americans don't care about the rights of others as long as the nation in question supports us. My response to that is the same as my response to you above - no nation's foreign policy (including the US) has any impact on whether or not human beings are entitled to representation.
 
What does US foreign policy have to do with the reasoning used to determine that human beings have a right to representation in their government?
Because historical precedent states that it typically works out essentially exactly as Touring Mars stated, because regardless of whether or not Americans believe everyone is entitled to self rule, government policies rarely cross paths with what the people actually want.

My response to that is the same as my response to you above - no nation's foreign policy (including the US) has any impact on whether or not human beings are entitled to representation.
No, it doesn't. But in the past actions by various countries in history have had a direct effect on whether or not said people are able to act out on said rights. Its really great that everyone is entitled to the right of self rule. I truly mean that. However, that means exactly nothing if they aren't able to act on said rights. I really don't get why you even brought this part up at all:
Danoff
Again, I completely disagree. We may tolerate a non-hostile totalitarian government, but Americans are firm believers in every human being's right to representation in his/her government - or at least we used to be.
Because it has little bearing on the Russia/Georgia mess either, especially if you are sympathetic with those of South Ossetia.
 
Because historical precedent states that it typically works out essentially exactly as Touring Mars stated, because regardless of whether or not Americans believe everyone is entitled to self rule, government policies rarely cross paths with what the people actually want.


That's the point of self governance...

However, that means exactly nothing if they aren't able to act on said rights.


It means an injustice has occurred.

I really don't get why you even brought this part up at all:


Read back through, I explained it twice.
 
Part of the problem with this entire issue is that we as Americans no longer have the moral high ground when it comes to brokering deals like this. When Bush gets up and talks about how "bullying isn't tolerated in the 21st century" and that "nations do not invade other nations," you know something isn't quite "clicking" like it used to.

That all being said, I'm well within the realm of placing all of the blame for what is going on solely on the shoulders of Russia at this point. I mean, lets be honest, they're paranoid about a small country like Georgia joining NATO? They're worried about a missile defense system that could very well protect them from an attack as well?

Historically speaking, Russia is a very paranoid country. They're obsessed with the idea that we're all out to get them, that we're going to invade, and consequently that they need some kind of buffer between them and everyone else to feel "safe." That is why we saw so many states gobbled up during the Cold War, and that likely explains why they are freaking out as their former republics rush off to join the EU and NATO for economic and military protection from their former overlords.

The problem here is that at one point the missile shield program was working towards including Russia in the deal. We would have the missiles in Poland, controlled by NATO, and we'd use Russian radar stations in Azerbaijan to keep an eye on the skies. I cannot recall if it was the Americans or the Russians who killed the deal off (its been nearly a year since I wrote the 20 page paper on it for school), but nevertheless, we're both getting the short end of the stick for the way it has worked out.

On the one hand, Russia has no room to talk. These are independent states who can do as they please... On the other, we have to consider the repercussions of removing their own first strike/second strike capability, essentially creating an arms race to offset those who were there to offset the powers in the first place. The odd thing is, they're not even there to protect Europe from Russia, the main intent as I recall was to cover their backside from missile attacks that would come from "rouge states" like Iran or whoever.

Either way, I don't think Russia is stupid enough to start a war over it... But I'd hate to see what would happen if I am wrong.
 
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