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As for GT4 vs PGR4, I finished to play GT4 at 12% and completely lost interest
Translation: Waaaaah, it was too hard.
I've played all the games being discussed. Personally, in terms of realism and how the cars feel compared to actual cars, I'd rank them with GT5P being at the top, followed at a distance by GT4/Forza 2 being fairly close to each other (but for different reasons - they each have fairly significant flaws), with PGR4 following at a fair distance. PGR4 isn't particularly realistic at all - it's very easy to be quick in that game, and good technique isn't as important to quick times as it is in any of the other games mentioned. (Incidentally, though it hasn't been mentioned, I'd slot Enthusia in just after GT5P. And I'd put things like the Test Drive and NFS games after PGR4).
On topic: Yes - if the game is ready, I do think that GT5 should be released. However, I'm not one of the ones complaining that PD are taking their time, or that they're not releasing any info (to be honest, I'm very busy at the moment so wouldn't have time to play it even if they did release it soon), so if PD decide the game isn't ready by the 3rd quarter of this year, then it would be a bad time to release it regardless of whether other sims are coming out around that time.