Originally posted by skylineGTR_guy
Yeah but why share the idea with other companies?
Weapons treaties are not based on profit and everyone doesn't necessarily have to agree.
Let's suppose you and I each run a large auto company. I decide that I want to build a sports car, in order to bolster my corporate image. To save development costs, I base the car on a sedan platform from the corporate parts bin. I also lift a modestly endowed engine from my compact car line. I do the math and figure out if I invest 1 million dollars into the program I can make 200 bucks a car at a particular price point and volume. (I'm going to super-simplfy this math) So in order to break even, I'd have to sell 5,000 units. The car ends up selling 6,000 units and I make $200,000 over the course of 2 years. I'm happy because the ROI is better than the interest on the original 1 mil I spent to bankroll the project.
You decide you want a peice of that so you build your own sports car. Except you want to out-do my car with an even more powerful one. So instead of spending 1 mil, you spend 1.5. The extra R&D money turns into a more powerful engine, better brakes and handling to go with it. You price your car identically to mine and figure you'd out sell my car in short order because it is more powerful. However, the special engine in your car makes it more expensive to produce so you only make 150 bucks a car. So in order to break even, you need to sell 10,000 cars. Luckily, your car is so much better than mine, it sells 12,000 units over 2 years and my car's sales plumet. But because your R&D costs were so high, you only actually make $300,000 ROI.
Still with me?
Let's say the actual market for sports cars is about 20,000 units. Along comes
neon_duke and
M5Power. They both make their own cars, each more powerful and better than yours. Between the four of us, we max out the segment. Your share falls to 4,000 units. Mine is 2,000 and duke and M5Power each hold 7,000 a peice.
Now you need a new car to fight duke's and M5's. So do I. Here's your problem. In order to match the power output of duke's car and M5's car, you need to re-engine yours. Now the R&D cost soars to 2 million. At this rate, you make only make 100 bucks a car because it is so expensive to produce. How many do you need to sell in order to break even on your 2 mil? 20,000. The entire sports car segment.
Meanwhile,
my new car is only marginally less powerful than yours. Even if you take duke's and M5Power's share away from them, mine will still sell 4000 units. Suddenly, you're faced with a loss.
Eventually, our profit margins will become razor thin because there's always a balancing act between money invested and a return on that money. Cars become more and more powerful, while we make less and less money per unit. (I realize that the market also grows and contracts, but let's put that aside for a moment)
So what can we do to stop this? The four of us sit down and agree to limit horsepower. This makes sense because adding more power is the most expensive thing to do to a car. If we all agree that everyone's cars are on a equal footing in that respect, then we can spend the money on other parts of the car and even make a little money on them.
Now, this is a grossly simplified explanation of the car business, but the main points hold true. Everytime a car maker improves an existing design --change anything, actually-- it costs money. Adding horsepower is always an expensive thing for a car maker to do --because you have to improve everything else on the car in order to balance it. After a certain point, some car makers might just say "Hey, this is crazy. Why don't we all agree on a max. This way we can all make a little money instead of going broke fighting each other."
Originally posted by skylineGTR_guy
Do you honestly belive that no one in the entire automotive industry bothered to question and check the validity of opponents claims? Also add that to the fact that magazines and other media also portrayed the 280 value despite the fact that they had no stake in the agreement or motive to carry on the lie.
Where on earth did I say that? I said we've known for years some manufactueres 'cheat'. But they don't
advertise the fact that they cheat.
Originally posted by skylineGTR_guy
True, I never said he knew everything. But he knows the basics of business.
Does that mean if your econ professor says "that makes so sense to me", he must be right? Is he smarter than the people who actually run these companies?
What exactly about my theory doesn't make sense anyway? I'm not convinced this is actually what happened, but I haven't heard anything that would de-bunk it either.
Originally posted by skylineGTR_guy
The concept of mutual cooperation for the survival of the whole makes no sense after their collective footholds were established, and would not have continued for the sake of courtesy were it not needed.
This isn't about survival of the whole at all. It's about survival of the individual.
M