Keef
Premium
- 25,104
- Dayton, OH
- GTP_KeefRacer
- GTP Keef
The forecast for Chicago and South bend has been completely wrong for almost two weeks, and we expect it to be wrong for another week at least.
This is my 10th day in a row flying overtime. I've got 53 hours on my timeclock from Sunday to Thursday (Independence Day of course, I did 13.1 today). Ask me about "40% chance of thunderstorms" because I've got opinions.
Forecasts here have been routinely wrong for months, even within 6 hour NWS forecast windows. Thunderstorms in in the mid-Indiana and Ohio region don't seem unusual, but while flying over Chicago I've noticed that Wisconsin, especially Madison and Milwaukee, have been hit by heavy thunderstorms for several days in a row which seems unusual. That, and the tornado risk for South Bend and obiously where I live in Dayton has been as high as it's been in a decade or more. Tornado watches are routine but actual touchdowns are extremely rare. Destructive tornadoes near Dayton only happen once in a couple decades.
I'd take your general forecasts with a grain of salt. Aviation forecasts offer a few specific details that "the weather man" doesn't bother with, and are general extremely accurate within 12 hours, but they've been amended or just completely wrong for weeks now which turns my job into a guessing game.
This is my 10th day in a row flying overtime. I've got 53 hours on my timeclock from Sunday to Thursday (Independence Day of course, I did 13.1 today). Ask me about "40% chance of thunderstorms" because I've got opinions.
Forecasts here have been routinely wrong for months, even within 6 hour NWS forecast windows. Thunderstorms in in the mid-Indiana and Ohio region don't seem unusual, but while flying over Chicago I've noticed that Wisconsin, especially Madison and Milwaukee, have been hit by heavy thunderstorms for several days in a row which seems unusual. That, and the tornado risk for South Bend and obiously where I live in Dayton has been as high as it's been in a decade or more. Tornado watches are routine but actual touchdowns are extremely rare. Destructive tornadoes near Dayton only happen once in a couple decades.
I'd take your general forecasts with a grain of salt. Aviation forecasts offer a few specific details that "the weather man" doesn't bother with, and are general extremely accurate within 12 hours, but they've been amended or just completely wrong for weeks now which turns my job into a guessing game.
We had a forecast of severe thunderstorms and heavy rain yesterday and got absolutely nothing...
