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The Supra might as well be D.O.A. if it gets above $70K and isn't pushing in the ballpark of 500Hp for the US. May do better overseas where the horsepower wars aren't as prominent, but that price range is RC-F territory. To me, that would seem embarrassing if the Supra gets into a pricing match with the RC-F and can't compete with it (the RC-F isn't exactly raved for its track prowess).
I wonder if this is suppose to be some segment dominating car, where no other car is really in the same territory as it and thus that is what helps it sell. Similar the the BRZ/86 is what I feel (as many of us have) Toyota is trying to achieve, by taking over a market segment. But as you said there is a horsepower war going on, and it probably wont be going away, so if this is a solid return of a mark like the Supra it will need to do something to last here in the States.
The higher you go up in the market of sports cars the more impossible it is to not have something with big power numbers and performance figures all around. They can get away with what they do with the BRZ because for that segment it should be a low power, tuner friendly, fun to drive off the lot type car without much more in performance figures. They can't do that with the Supra I think.