2014 Fantasy NASCAR: Round 36 Homestead

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

I'm taking a chance this week. RFR killed what momentum I might have had, and Bowyer hasn't shown me much this season. I might be able to handle one more poor showing, but I need to turn it around.

I agree MWR as a whole along with most things Toyota hasn't shown me anything that makes me think they'll be super fast. One driver out of the lot (Kenseth) isn't going to change that thought. I think Ryan has convinced me on the Kurt selection, and Ambrose I would say is an easy pick for anyone because of history and the fact that Almirola has shown the cars have potential to win and run close to the front.

Not sure who to pick last though...

 

[MustangRyan]

Super safe picks: 15/24/48

Race to win: 9/41/48

Gambling to make up points: 41/47/78

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

Super safe picks: 15/24/48

Race to win: 9/41/48

Gambling to make up points: 41/47/78

...A.J/Kurt/and Truex

That's not a gamble that's a tossing your dream out a window and hoping it sticks. I think I'll go with the race win pick since I was already aiming that way, but I wanted to save JJ for next week. Oh well.

 

[MustangRyan]

...A.J/Kurt/and Truex

That's not a gamble that's a tossing your dream out a window and hoping it sticks. I think I'll go with the race win pick since I was already aiming that way, but I wanted to save JJ for next week. Oh well.

Those would be picks that could have a good day, and would make up a lot of ground on other players if they did.

Kurt, I've already covered.

AJ Allmendinger is a very good road-racer. He won a Nationwide road-course race last season driving for Penske. He is driving the #47, which nearly won at Sonoma a few years ago with Ambrose behind the wheel. There is no reason to think that they can't provide a good enough car to win, with a good enough driver. The driver does matter way more than the car at Sonoma (see Kurt Busch nearly winning in the 51 two years ago). A.J. finished 10th in the #47 car at Watkins Glen last year, and that was before they switched over to Chevy/Childress equipment for this season.

Truex is the defending race winner here. He dominated last year. The only car that could run with him was... Kurt Busch in the #78 car. Kurt might have won if not for two pit road speeding penalties. So, you have the defending race winner now driving in the only other car that was fast enough to keep up with him. You don't like his chances at all? He even finished 3rd at the Glen last year, too.

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

Those would be picks that could have a good day, and would make up a lot of ground on other players if they did.

Kurt, I've already covered.

Which I agreed with.

AJ Allmendinger is a very good road-racer. He won a Nationwide road-course race last season driving for Penske. He is driving the #47, which nearly won at Sonoma a few years ago with Ambrose behind the wheel. There is no reason to think that they can't provide a good enough car to win, with a good enough driver. The driver does matter way more than the car at Sonoma (see Kurt Busch nearly winning in the 51 two years ago). A.J. finished 10th in the #47 car at Watkins Glen last year, and that was before they switched over to Chevy/Childress equipment for this season.

Yeah but looking at his record here it's usually top 15 for him, which is meh to me. Also he's no Ambrose, so that's why even if the car is good I don't expect him to have a winning chance, but I didn't expect one out of Truex last year either.

Truex is the defending race winner here. He dominated last year. The only car that could run with him was... Kurt Busch in the #78 car. Kurt might have won if not for two pit road speeding penalties. So, you have the defending race winner now driving in the only other car that was fast enough to keep up with him. You don't like his chances at all? He even finished 3rd at the Glen last year, too.

Yeah I saw that, it's not that I don't like his chances it more of the idea, that yes he's good but he's hit and miss at this track. Now maybe the Gen 6 is to his liking as a road course car but he did well once in the Gen 5 and then went on to do poorly and then won after that. However, I have too look at his overall momentum, which last year he had more than he currently does this year, I think that factors in to be honest.

 

[BlacqueJacques]

I am going with the 4, 24, and 48

 

[Anathema]

2, 9, 18.

Make that 9, 24, 41.

 

[Chqr]

18, 24, 41

 

[MustangRyan]

Super safe picks: 15/24/48

Race to win: 9/41/48

Gambling to make up points: 41/47/78

Thirty minutes into practice, and gambling is looking pretty tempting...

 

[MustangRyan]

I kick myself every time I change my picks, but I'm going to do it again anyway.

9/15/41.

 

[Furinkazen]

2/9/15.

 

[Carbonox]

9, 24, 41. It's not like I'd be aiming for anything other than routine points this week, with maybe an extra win. I can never be too far ahead of the Cha$e cut-off mark.

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

Dale Jr. seventh fastest in 1st practice and fifth fastest in second...did @ukfan758 know something we didn't....

 

[ukfan758]

Dale Jr. seventh fastest in 1st practice and fifth fastest in second...did @ukfan758 know something we didn't....

Wait what?

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

Wait what?

You originally had Junior as a pick. But then said this:

I just realized that the track is Sonoma (having Earnhardt Jr in there would be terrible , that's a guaranteed 30th + finish right there

I pointed out you may be a mystic , because he actually showed some good promise in both practices.

 

[ukfan758]

You originally had Junior as a pick. But then said this:



I pointed out you may be a mystic , because he actually showed some good promise in both practices.

I don't trust Jr in nascar road course races though, he might do good in practice, but he probably won't do good in the race itself.

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

I don't trust Jr in nascar road course races though, he might do good in practice, but he probably won't do good in the race itself.

No I know, I was just poking fun and making you look like a potential prophet...guess you took it serious though

 

[ukfan758]

No I know, I was just poking fun and making you look like a potential prophet...guess you took it serious though

I take almost everything seriously. *gasp* I'm a prophet?

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

I take almost everything seriously. *gasp* I'm a prophet?

If ya wanna be

 

[ukfan758]

If ya wanna be

#OBAY ME

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

#OBAY ME

Well if Junior gets a top ten I might listen to your original predictions more often and then poke fun at your changes for the remainder of the season. 💡

 

[ukfan758]

Well if Junior gets a top ten I might listen to your original predictions more often and then poke fun at your changes for the remainder of the season. 💡

And if he gets 11th or higher?

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

And if he gets 11th or higher?

I see what ya did there

I might change my choices, after seeing where Edwards will be starting compared to Ambrose

 

[Spacegoat]

What the hell happened to Ambrose anyway? 23rd? Going to stick with him and Bowyer because they are both too good at Sonoma to stay back there for very long.

 

[LMSCorvetteGT2]

I might switch to edwards because he's good here and usually a high start from him means good things for the race.

 

[Jahgee]

9/41/47

 

[Chqr]

Optimistic with my 1/41/99

 

[Patrick]

I made a last minute switch from Ambrose to Boyer, **** me.

 

[MustangRyan]

Thanks, Jamie McMurray. I guess I should have not changed my picks... again.

 

[Chqr]

Proud of you Jamie McMurray. Doing my dirty work.