All right. I'll make predictions by driver.
1 (McMurray) - He has led zero laps this season. Kinda embarrassing when you drive the #1 car. Last season I recall him being relevant in terms of contention for wins was 2010. Luck may get him through the first round but that's the best he can do.
3 (Dillon) - Relatively consistent if you look at his results this season. In fact, wouldn't surprise me if he makes it through the first two rounds. After that, no chance because he'd need to earn his first career win to reach Homestead. Too much to ask.
24 (Elliott) - Chase can either surprise everyone and reach Homestead or fall out of Round 1. It all depends on avoiding an accident via his own mistake or getting caught up in someone else's mess.
34 (Buescher) - Enjoy the publicity for the next three races before bowing out. Regardless, just being in this position is a huge win.
41 (Kurt Busch) - Outside shot but I get the feeling he's going to cause or be sucked into trouble. He could get a win at one of the short tracks.
14 (Stewart) - Karma says no.
42 (Larson) - In 2014, Larsen had a stretch of races where he was a contender. That was in Chase races when he wasn't in the Chase. If Ganassi has the equipment to put Larsen in similar contention, watch out. If not, then I'd give him better odds than Dillon.
22 (Logano) - Not quite a contender as last season but you can't sleep on him. At least this time, Kenseth has a bigger beef with Brad. Best to leave him be.
48 (Johnson) - He is New England Patriots of NASCAR. You can never ever count him out until he's actually out. Personally, I find the Charlotte race to be the turning point for him. Seems that his hopes are dashed there whenever he does poorly.
20 (Kenseth) - Stay away from the Penske cars. Otherwise, he's got a shot because he drives for Gibbs. Probably next to worst shot because the system doesn't reward consistency.
78 (Truex Jr) - Should be in contention based on talent and equipment. Problem is that Truex is the most likely to have the worst luck in the Chase. He could be leading in Homestead when the engine blows and I wouldn't be the least surprised.
19 (Edwards) - Another Gibbs driver but the least likely to make it through. Strong early in the season but has been involved in incidents galore over the last few weeks. I think the lugnute rule change has hurt this team the most. Martinsville will doom his chances to reach Homestead.
4 (Harvick) - Races with long green flag runs are his best friend. His worst enemy is a late race stop at Homestead.
11 (Hamlin) - They've been strong lately but maybe a little bit too early? Regardless, I'd say they have the second to best shot within the Gibbs group.
2 (Keselowski) - Don't upset Kenseth any further. Otherwise, not seeing him at Homestead will be a surprise.
18 (Kyle Busch) - Best shot within the Gibbs group. The only detriment is not raising his level up enough like last year.
Round of 16 Eliminations: Buescher, McMurray, Stewart, Edwards
Round of 12 Eliminations: Larson, Dillon, Johnson, Kurt Busch
Round of 8 Eliminations: Elliott, Truex Jr, Kenseth, Logano
Final Four: Kyle Busch, Hamlin, Keselowski, Harvick
Winner: Kyle Busch
Denny Hamlin, he shoots, and SCORES! And Kyle Larson is none to happy about it. 
