Since Desantis' campaign announcement, Trump's lead over him has only widened, with Trump holding a 25-point lead over Desantis amongst South Carolina republicans.
The former president has a 25-point advantage over the Florida governor in survey of likely South Carolina GOP primary voters.
www.newsweek.com
"Desantis 2024" was doomed from the very beginning and I can't possibly see why Desantis would run in 2024 rather than in 2028 other than being coerced by party leadership. In order for Desantis to eke out a primary win, he would need to successfully convince Trump voters that he is the better alternative. There is simply no other path to victory, as the majority of the Republican party still unambiguously backs Trump.
It's a damned-if-you-do damned-if-you-don't dilemma for Ron. If Desantis largely supports and agrees with Trump, there just isn't enough of a motive for Trump voters to switch Desantis, even if Desantis is perceived as the more electable guy. The cult of personality around Trump is just too fiery and withstanding. However, if Desantis opts to criticize and differentiate himself from Trump, even for legitimate reasons, it will offend and inflame the Trump base, hurting not only his presidential chances but political image in years to come. Curiously, Desantis seems to have veered between both paths, given that he has praised Trump's presidency on numerous occasions, yet is also trying to "out-right" Trump, given that unlike Desantis, Trump does not support a national abortion ban, defunding/privatizing Social Security, and isn't attacking Disney for "indoctrinating children".
And all of this avoids the elephant in the room, that Desantis isn't a charming or charismatic guy, and comes across as too scripted and politician-like, and cannot withstand a debate against Trump. One of the leading reasons why Trump won the 2016 Republican primary was because was able to run circles around his opponents in a clever but humorous way. Desantis has gained popularity in both Florida and nationwide for his swift, decisive ability to pass "anti-woke" laws, not because he is some gifted orator or alpha-male. Given the fervor for an anti-establishment veneer amongst the Republican electorate, even if Desantis is superior when it comes to policy, it doesn't mean much if he comes across as defeated or generic in a debate against the Donald.