Do you think that Hydrogen Powered cars, either through Hydrogen Fuel Cell or Hydrogen-Internal-Combustion-Engine, (HICE) will become the car of the future?
In a word? Ish.
In several more words:
There are a few elements to this, and to your questions. It's been covered at length before (probably even in this thread), but it keeps me on my toes, so I'll bite.
Honestly, I truly can. Electric cars powered by batteries that need to be charged don't seem like a good investment for a while, and certainly won't cut down on pollution very much considering that you get your electricity often times from a coal plant.
...is grey area number one.
Conveniently, some statistics recently came out on this very subject. It's complicated, so bear with me. Best place to start is
reading my article on it, though you can also link through to my source via the article.
The first thing to consider is the "well-to-wheels" statistics for any power source. And it can get very complicated.
In most cases it's a virtually infinite chain backwards. Let's say you get your electricity from coal. It's dirty, yes. But then, if you're going to compare dirty coal-powered electricity with gasoline cars, you have to consider where the gasoline comes from. "The pump" is insufficient, as that's the point of use, like a plug. You'd have to consider how it got there, which means finding oil, building rigs, drilling for it, transporting it, refining it, transporting it again, and then powering gas stations around the clock so you can pump it. Ever so slightly energy-intensive, all that.
But then for
this to be fair, you'd have to ask where the EV's coal came from, i.e. it was blown out of the ground, transported, etc. It gets stupid pretty quickly, so for layman discussion it makes more sense simply ignoring it (though do always remember that it exists - otherwise it can be used unfairly by pros and antis in these discussions).
The second point, and the reason the "electricity mostly comes from coal" argument is a bit lazy, is because this varies massively by country - see the link above. Or even better, look at this graph:
Nice and easy to understand. The US and UK are largely in the middle. The US, naturally, varies by state, or even by town. Some areas are pretty heavy on solar, or hydro, but if you live in NoDak, which I think is 100% coal, consider yourself nearer the India end of the scale.
Essentially, that's a top-to-bottom list of where you should and shouldn't drive an electric car, albeit largely based on CO2 (it's worth remembering that there are other emissions from power plants, and indeed internal combustion cars, and an EV will
always be cleaner than a regular car if you're standing right next to it).
70 g/km of each of the above is from manufacturing (which reminds me of another myth - usage of cars accounts for
far more pollution than manufacturing or transportation, even for that supposedly evil Prius being shipped from Japan).
Bottom line - Not all electricity comes from coal, and even when much of it does, the point at which electric cars are "dirtier" than regular ones is pretty high.
I feel people sometimes overplay the "Needs to be charged" aspect too. If you have a car with a large battery and charge at 120V, then it can take about 12 hours from absolutely empty, which is a bit of a bind. But then, most owners aren't charging from empty. Many can charge at work during the day (plugs: they're everywhere). Many commute a fraction of their car's range. Many have upgraded to 240V chargers, which cut whatever time it was previously taking in half. Naturally, it's not suitable for
everyone, but then
no car is suitable for
everyone.
As for hydrogen...
Many manufacturers are jumping on the bandwagon. Recently Ford, Daimler, and Nissan announced plans to create a Hydrogen Fuel Cell car.I have a feeling we will start to see many more stories like this pop up as gas prices rise higher and higher, and pollution levels increase. What do you think?
Again, there are a few things to note here.
The first is the deal - it's the second such plan in recent months - BMW and Toyota formed their own partnership for hydrogen not so long ago.
What this says to me is that the only way carmakers can make hydrogen fuel cells remotely viable is by pooling their resources. Fuel cell tech has been plodding along even more slowly than battery tech, because it's hugely more complicated and expensive. Without three or four carmakers all going in together, it's simply unviable. Even with these big tech-share agreements, I'm getting the impression they're being rather cautious.
The next: Hydrogen's flaws currently vastly outweigh its benefits.
"Hydrogen is abundant" is a popular one. Yes, it is - but rather inconveniently, it's usually either stuck to oxygen in water, which involves massive amounts of energy to split apart (why is this dumb? Using lots of electricity to generate hydrogen, whose fuel cells give you a little bit of electricity back - it's a massive waste of energy) or floating around in air. Harvesting hydrogen from the air is about as easy as eating soup with a fork.
Alternatively, you can extract it from fossil fuels. Easier, but not really a step forward from where we are at the moment. "Where does your hydrogen come from" - "Well, first we drill ten miles through the earth's crust, and extract some oil..."
It's also a bugger to store - high pressure is required, and even then you need a chuffing big tank somewhere in the car.
You'd also need to set up a network for it. Doing this for electric cars isn't that much of an issue - a charging post costs a few hundred bucks and just needs a wire somewhere nearby, to simplify it a bit. At a maximum, a few thousand bucks and a high-voltage supply nearby.
A hydrogen station requires you to build new, or modify existing filling stations (
around 12,000, for it to be practical for use by most people) by installing new tanks and new pumps. And of course, you'd need a fleet of trucks to drive across the country day and night filling it all up - exactly like fossil fuels do at the moment.
How much does that cost? Well in the link above, it took GM two years and a million dollars to build a single station in New York. Not every station would cost that, but I suspect it'll be rather expensive to set up a network.
Will hydrogen power some cars in the future? Probably. As part of a wider energy mix. But it certainly isn't the one and only solution.