Isn't it likely to happen either way, though?
But again, doesn't that happen either way? I mean, you said yourself no one campaigns in South Dakota, so doesn't that discount 865,000 people's interests in either situation?
Yes, if you bin states together and send 100% of the votes within that state to one political candidate, which is part of the electoral system now. There are two things going on with the electoral college, one is overweighting of smaller states, and the other is binning all votes according to state. Both are bad.
I propose we ditch both, in which case nobody in South Dakota is treated differently from anyone in CA or OH. They're all equally important to the presidential campaign.
Is it a terrible system now because Trump won, or was it a terrible system in 2000? I remember some backlash, but people wanted a recount because it was so close, not abolishing the Electoral System altogether.
This isn't a shot at who you preferred or insinuating that you're just upset (I know you're more intelligent than that), it's just the most I see this debate come up, the underlying tone is that people want it abolished because their candidate didn't win, not because of sound reasoning like you presented.
I didn't vote for Trump or Hillary. I didn't want either of them to be president. My candidate didn't win, but that wouldn't have changed with the popular vote - so don't take this as some sort of backlash. I'm concluding that this system is inferior for tangible reasons.
With how it is running for awhile now, it would be stupid to campaign hoping to win the popular vote more than the one that actually matters.
Agreed, which is part of the reason why I'm not suggesting that outcomes from past elections would necessarily have been different. It would have changed the strategy, so maybe the outcome is the same. We'll never know.
I will say this though, and keep in mind I'm not a democrat, the two recent presidents that have won the electorate without winning the popular vote were both republicans. Overweighting smaller states' votes does put additional power in the hands of largely rural areas, which... tend to vote republican (at least during that time period). Just saying, it lines up.
Issue is, either way, nothing will be balanced you'll just be shunning people away from voting.
No. See above, I'm advocating getting rid of state-by-state binning (which is part of the electoral college) in addition to getting rid of overweighting of votes in small states.
I don't like this line of thinking because it kinda suggests there's something innate about how a region will swing in a vote, as if the voters aren't fully in control of their own votes. Obviously, "If you're a republican in Texas, you don't have to vote because your state is going republican" doesn't hold if every republican were to think that, and not turn up.............without wanting to state the obvious, the only reason there's the idea of a safe state/safe seat/safe whatever is because a lot of people choose to vote that way.
On an election-by-election basis you can figure out how your state will go, and so your vote is marginalized if you're not in a swing state. It's not true across decades of course. Bottom line, if you're in a state where most people don't agree with you, there is still no reason why your vote should be
switched (which is what we do) to the candidate that you didn't vote for. That's undemocratic.
Having said all that I do agree with the point that putting people into bins for what is an (almost) uniform national vote is a rough deal. It would have been a bit ridiculous if in our EU referendum we'd divided up the choices into regions instead of counting up every vote equally (well some suggest we should kind of do this after the fact, but that's another matter).
👍
There are a lot of people, when it comes to discussion of the electoral college, that get concerned about state representation. The Electoral College was designed to make sure that states got representation in the presidential election not only based on population, but based on region. This was a play to assuage concerns for colonies who were considering joining the union that their vote for president (as if the colony could vote en-mass) would get overridden every time by more populous states.
The thing is, we have regional representation. You have the Senate, which is not based on population
at all. There's also an entire state government that runs each state and has power reserved from the federal government for that purpose enshrined in the constitution. It is absolutely ridiculous to try to balance state-specific representation for the specific election of the office of president, the individual who is supposed to represent the entire country, and who is largely charged with the affairs of the
federal government. This is not a regional office, and it's not an office that's designed to represent regional interests. This is one individual elected by the entire nation to run only the portion of the government that is concerned with the entire country.
There is no real defense of the electoral college. It's absurd.