Ursula again. Sorry. She's been talking to German media...
Von der Leyen threatens AstraZeneca with vaccine export ban
"In the Saturday interview, von der Leyen remarked that the EU was exporting doses of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine manufactured in the EU to the U.K., but was not receiving any doses back from British factories"
Huh? Are they? Apparently not, at least between export controls being implemented at end of January and the date of
this article, 3rd March, from at least the plant in Netherlands, according to the person VDL put in charge of checking up on production, Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton. A
previous article notes it's unclear if the NL plant had produced any doses at all by early February. And judging by our current shortage, it seems very plausible we haven't had any since 3rd March either.
Even now, the NL plant doesn't appear to have authorization to produce 'biological active substance' for the EU, only to handle batch release (for the Belgium plant). (EMA
PDF, page 13). Meanwhile it would appear that all, or virtually all, of the Belgium plant's 8-million doses a month has gone to the EU, since that roughly tallies with the reports of 15 million AstraZeneca doses received by the EU.
The NL plant has been built up and supported by UK gov all along, but has, it seems, already been de facto commandeered by the EU.
So, fine, Ursula, have the doses that are sitting in NL, maybe 10 million or so by now since it can produce 6 million a month. We'll manage as long as we can get enough to cover our second doses (hopefully the UK plant is enough to cover that, and she seems not to be threatening Pfizer exports any more).
Just um Himmels willen get on with it, because nothing pisses me off more than
millions of doses going unused by anyone.
(for all my ranting, there is likely a lot I still don't understand about the murky, mysterious and secretive world of vaccine production deals, so I stand ready to be corrected).
This is personal now - had my first shot of AstraZeneca today, so I'll be livid if the second isn't available in early June. No side effects so far
- - - - - - -
(Sunday 21st)
Long sleep. Aching joints, fuzzy head, very slight temperature. Nothing too bad but don't feel like doing much today.
Various public figures are today calling for a 'cooling of rhetoric' as our Defence Minister calls for the EU to respect contracts and the rule of law. (
BBC)
I'd say a good first step in that would be for the Commission to be as transparent as it has demanded from the companies involved - releasing summaries of doses produced and where they went. Without that, arguments are likely to be based on cherry-picked data.
VDL is fond of saying that some 41 million vaccine doses have been exported from the EU to 33 countries in six weeks, including more than 10 million which have gone to the UK. We know that at least 9.1 million of those that came to the UK were from Pfizer, and presume that Pfizer is keeping up with deliveries to the EU at the same time (since Pfizer hasn't been threatened with lawsuits in the same way as AstraZeneca).
Without transparency, we can't say which vaccine the other ~1 million doses were, or which plant they came from. However this is far too small an amount to be worth all this fuss.
(UK had used 11.5 million doses of Pfizer by 28th Feb, and presumably more since. Obviously that's more than it's said came from the EU - did we get some from somewhere else at some point? From US? All I've found is that the first batches to arrive came from Belgium).
Without transparency, we can't say what is going on with doses produced at the NL AstraZeneca plant. It appears they have not gone to either the UK (as originally intended) or the EU. Given the circumstances, I think it's reasonable to assume they are being stockpiled in NL and shamefully going unused. If so, this standoff is the real story, and not "exports from the UK" vs "exports from the EU" at all - making it notable, and curious, that the UK hasn't publicly complained about this specifically.
On Friday the Telegraph reported:
Pfizer warns EU to back down on Covid vaccine threats to UK. It's interesting for a bit of insight into the supply chain, and for comment from an unnamed gov source that the UK would be unlikely to retaliate.