I guess I'll walk you through the timeline and strategy failures since you can't be bothered.
Lap 14: Max pits for new hards.
Lap 15: Ham pits for new hards. The plan is to go to the end of the race due to excellent pace and an increasing gap. (this will work if nothing stupid happens...it's a plan, and plans change, right?)
Ham extends the lead.
Perez gives him a hard time but that's team racing. Mercedes complains because - foreshadowing - they do not like the idea of racing on this particular day.
Ham extends the lead.
Ham extends the lead.
Lap 32: Ham has set multiple fastest laps, clearly outpacing Max
on the same tires.
Ham extends the lead. Wow, this plan is working out really well. If nothing changes it's an easy win.
Narrator: Something changed.
Lap 36: VSC. Max pits for fresh hards to try and push the rest of the race. He uses the pit lane to gain time on Ham. Merc knew RB could do this but failed to respond.
Max and Ham are no longer on the same tires. Ham's are 21 laps old while Max's are brand new and ready to rip.
At this point Ham has a commanding lead and Max is just barely beating his times. Ham absolutely controls his destiny here. RB has pitted on tires that will get them to the end of the race so if nothing changes they can't afford another stop. Ham has such a pace advantage over Max that if Ham pitted for meds or softs he'd be able to chase Max down right at the end. It's something to consider.
Lap 39: Just a couple laps after the VSC, Ham considers it. He says his tires won't last til the end. But they probably will because Max's pace isn't enough to catch Ham...assuming nothing changes.
Lap 53: Something changes. Safety car. Ham's tires are now
38 laps old and Max is clawing back because of it. RB now responds immediately because 2nd place is guaranteed, so they go with softs because they
know that typically lapped cars are let past, and they know that typically this would land Max right behind Ham, ready for a shootout. Mercedes...does nothing?
Mercedes is in first place lol. They should have been the first team to make a call. And if they were the first team to make the call, they would have known that only one of two things could happen at this point: Either Ham pits for softs and ends up right behind Max who stays out on 17 lap old hards (for the TrAcK pOsItIoN) thus setting up an easy shootout for Ham, or
both cars pit for softs, maintain their track positions, and Ham is still favored because on the same tires he's had better pace all race long.
What did Merc choose? They chose to keep Ham out on hards that are now over 40 laps old and aging fast. Merc
expected a championship race to end under caution. They did not consider how long the SC might take. They did not consider that it might end in a shootout. Honestly if Latifi's car was recovered faster this could've been a multi-lap shootout but Mercedes didn't consider that. They chose one course of action and left themselves with no other option. What happened was the one specific scenario that they did
not prepare for - a shootout. And they lost.
If Merc had taken either free pit stop opportunity, Ham would've had healthy tires to the end of the race whether or not the SC actually occurred, and would've been outpacing Max the entire way. Even if that late SC never happened, Max and Ham still would've been on the same exact hard tires from the VSC pit stop which means Ham would've still had the pace and track position. All Merc had to do was take one more pit stop and they would've had this race in the bag but instead they kept assuming nothing would change which is ridiculously poor strategy. The entire concept of a one-stop race is risky as hell because it cannot account for change. And that's the point here, that the core of the problem is Mercedes didn't account for change. If they did, they would've won, and even if F1 made a bad call nobody would've cared because Mercedes is genius and outsmarted RB.
That's why I say that Mercedes was not racing to win, they were racing to not lose. They had the better car and driver the entire time but they failed to make that halftime adjustment to extend their lead. They put the backups in too early and lost because of it, something that does actually happen in football and is hilarious to watch. The best player on Merc's team is the tires, and the coach allowed them to foul-out late in the fourth quarter, forgetting that the game might go OT. Oops. The one race where Merc really needed to have an aggressive strategy and they just sat there like a deer in headlights.
Timeline from this site.