Danoff
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- Mile High City
Fewer variables in some respects. It's slow driving on relatively slow-moving streets, following a pre-determined route that can be scanned in detail and refined to make it work (ie. Google's methodology). Buses are very visible, and people already give them room, whether by foot, bicycle, or car. They kind of enjoy the right of way by default, so if the AI ever lapses in its duty, it might work out without anyone being harmed or even noticing it happened.
Seems relatively reasonable to me, and it automates a particularly monotonous driving occupation, as you were saying.
I think that there are more variables to account for in an urban environment than the "open road". Tesla is doing a pretty good job with the "open road" at the moment (I interpret this to mean high speed straight-line highway driving, perhaps you mean something else).
Eventually, sure. There will be a tipping point, and enough autonomous advancement, that they should be able to blend reasonably well with traditionally-driven vehicles. Especially — or maybe more accurately, only — if the drivers are reliably skilled.
But I just don't want to underestimate the desire to be dickish from those that don't like it. I think of brake-checking or barging one's way through an intersection instead of waiting for one's turn, knowing that the other car will avoid an accident and thus give way.
This seems like an apt comparison here: games. Players tend to find ways to exploit a game for their own needs. I don't doubt some drivers would do the same with autonomous cars once they know they're sharing the road with them.
I think a lot of people aren't dicks on the road simply because they're not dicks in person. But a part of the reason would be that they'd be afraid of getting caught, and having a bunch of cars with cameras that can direct video evidence of your dick move to the police is probably not the greatest environment in which to be a dick.