- 6,041
- Puget Sound
- Crash852
You do realize that water becomes pretty tough stuff when you hit it at speed, right?
Ever bellyflopped from a high diving board?
How is it going to explode when it has no fuel to ignite?
If it was going nose-first into concrete, maybe. But the surface of the ocean has less tension than earth, and so a streamlined object travelling at speed could penetrate the top layer of the ocean, at which point it proceeded to sink.
Parts of the front of the plane would likely disintegrate into smaller pieces, and a small section of the fuselage aft of the disintegrated portion would buckle and fold.
There is no way in hell the fuselage would have maintained airtight/watertight integrity after hitting the water unless the pilot pulled off a Hudson River-type landing, so water pressure would not have crushed the fuselage.
Even when glided to a stop a la Sully-style, planes are designed to only be water-resistant and prevent enough water from penetrating to float for a few minutes (enough time to evacuate the plane).
We have no idea how fast or at what angle the plane hit the water, assuming for sake of argument it did in fact hit the water. It may have shattered into a bunch of tiny pieces; as @Dennisch says, water is pretty dang hard if you hit it fast enough. It may have broken into a handful of large pieces.
Anything that is not landing in the water at a very shallow angle will cause pieces of the fuselage to disintegrate at or near the impact spot, especially at any sort of reasonable. Fuselages are not designed for compression.