Planning a party for 2m posts?...

Blake
I’ll say whatever he works out. :sly:

My calculating says...

As off today at 8:11am (This will all be done on my time, +10 GMT), Ferrari Chris posted a picture of 1,980,700 posts. Next Jordan said GTP's 5 year is coming up on the 25th, which is nearer to 4 then 5 days from now.

So 1,980,700 posts have been made in 5 years - 4 days or
1826 - 4 days = 1822 (4*365 + 366 for those playing at home).

This equates to 1087.1~ posts per day (1,980,700 / 1822).

Therefore, needing 19300 posts to get to 2,000,000, (2,000,000 - 1,980,700 obviously), it will take 17.75~ days to get to 2,000,000.

17.75~
days takes us to around the 6th/7th of February.

HOWEVER This assumes that the posting has been at a constant 1000+ posts per day for 5 years. Which it hasn't, obviously. Time to do some more calculations. I'll edit this post if no one gets in first.

Ok, Ferrari's 1,980,700 came was posted at 8:11am (I assume he screenshot then too), it's now 7:39pm and the post count is up to 1,981,470, or up 770. This has come in 11 hours and 28 minutes (near enough to 11.46 hours).

This is at a rate of 1612 posts per day, which much, much more then the average over 5 years. At this rate, needing 18530 posts to get, it will take 11.5~ days.

This brings us to...February 1st/2nd. So my new guess is February 1st, 5:00pm GMT.
 
Casio
My calculating says...

As off today at 8:11am (This will all be done on my time, +10 GMT), Ferrari Chris posted a picture of 1,980,700 posts. Next Jordan said GTP's 5 year is coming up on the 25th, which is nearer to 4 then 5 days from now.

So 1,980,700 posts have been made in 5 years - 4 days or
1826 - 4 days = 1822 (4*365 + 366 for those playing at home).

This equates to 1087.1~ posts per day (1,980,700 / 1822).

Therefore, needing 19300 posts to get to 2,000,000, (2,000,000 - 1,980,700 obviously), it will take 17.75~ days to get to 2,000,000.

17.75~
days takes us to around the 6th/7th of Febuary.

I've got to say I don't agree with this rationale. The site was obviously less busy (and less populated) back then that it is now...

Using the average over 5 years is going to be more inaccurate than using an average calculated over a far shorter period (e.g. today or tomorrow...). Also, this doesn't take into account the actual number of posts, only the surviving ones...

edit: Jumped in before your edit :P
 
19:01 on the 26th of January. :sly:
Fred
Sweet, I just found another excuse to go out and drink my ass off!
Since when do you need an excuse these days. You have plenty of hallucinations and "roomspins" for my liking, anyhow. :sly:
Master_Yoda
Makes me cry, i've always wanted to be a wwhore.
Someone sig that.
 
Jimmy Enslashay
19:01 on the 26th of January. :sly:

_shakefist_.gif


Why i orta...
 
Well at posts are concerned I have the 300,000th post. Damn this site has come a long way.
 
Jordan
A 2,000,000 post party would be great, but we'll probably still be hung over from our 5th birthday party on Jan. 25th! :D

Damn, i'm going to miss it - i'm washing my hair that night!
 
:lol: your in class? i can picture it now, porno in the middle of math. You'd better be in the back or someone is either going to be in a very disturbing state, or your gonna get in big time trouble. ;)
 
It's college, no body cares what you do. I sit in the back of a lecture hall and I'm in a Sociology class right now. Which is boring as hell. Haha...good thing the campus is wirelss...OH YEAH!
 
Omnis
Wtf? Are you black, or just incredibly grimey?
He can't be grimey. This is Grimey.

scream.gif


And now for my semi-random guess at the time of the 2,000,000th post...

January 30th, 18:08.
 
At the moment my calculations indicate that it will be at 1.38pm GMT on 31st January, though I need a little more data to refine this.
 
BlazinXtreme
It's college, no body cares what you do. I sit in the back of a lecture hall and I'm in a Sociology class right now. Which is boring as hell. Haha...good thing the campus is wirelss...OH YEAH!
LOOK! i'm sitting behind you watching your every move.
 
I think Famine may be right. I've overshot big time.

People, slow down your posting! :D
 
Famine
At the moment my calculations indicate that it will be at 1.38pm GMT on 31st January, though I need a little more data to refine this.
In that case, I’ll take 13:00 on 31st of Janauary. :sly:
 
Okay. The additional data I've got today gives me my FINAL answer...

5.11am GMT on 1st February 2006.
 

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