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4 1/2 actually, Mid-Ohio, Pocono, 1/2 Texas, Glen, and Sonoma.
I think JPM will be out and go play with his remote control airplanes if he can not hitch a ride with Porsche in the WEC. Helio could be done too with only 2 wins in 3 1/2 yrs in the best team, not good enough.
TK is another guy who is Kimi like and playing the role of #2 driver in a series that has no #2 drivers. 4 wins since 2008 vs and only 1 with TGR when his teammate has 6 wins and a championship. Chilton and Kimball are both bringing sponsors to those cars so they will have a seat until the checks stop clearing.
Guys at Andretti are probably looking for a way out rather than worrying about keeping their seat right now. RHR looks good in yellow and could come to love Penzoil. Marco has no better place to go and will have a seat as long as the car has a sponsor. Munoz needs more backing to keep that seat and Rossi is at the crossroads between being a out of work F1 driver and becoming a new career as a Indycar driver. His only F1 option is likely a move to Haas and that is probably a stretch.
Reportedly Tim Cindric hates Graham Rahal and he already raced for Chip so there is no better place for him to be at the moment. He does need a full time teammate though.
Josef staying at ECR would be good for the series but it will be tough for him to ignore a call from The Capt. or Chip.
Foyt needs to clean house, my crystal ball has a LMP2 seat in the future for Hawksworth and Sato can go back to Japan. Daly can go there but that is nothing more than a lateral move at best.
Coyne TBD and TBD are the favorites for those seats.
SPM seems locked in but either one of those guys could take TK's seat in a heartbeat.
Seb has been described as the worst teammate ever by Katherine Legge and that lone wolf mentality might play at Penske it would not at TGR or Andretti so I doubt he is going anywhere.
Personally I think Tony Kanaan will be dropped before Juan Montoya, I definitely think Montoya has one more year, the pace is still there, just seems to be missing it on set up, as you've pointed out Kanaan has done stuff all, and isn't going quick enough to race as support for Dixons title push,