Parliament are to be given a series of "indicative votes" on seven possible Brexit outcomes, with some reports suggesting that there could be a 'knock-out' style format that will eliminate options one by one, a bit like Masterchef but where the outcome is the future of our country.
The 7 options are supposedly going to be something like this: (and subject to various amendments, I assume...)
- Revoke Article 50
- Second referendum
- The Prime Minister's deal/WA
- The deal/WA with a customs union
- The deal/WA with a customs union and single market
- A standard free-trade agreement (also requires WA)
- No-deal Brexit
As noted above, there is no Brexit deal possible without the WA.
The first two are, in effect, the same, and involve a return of free movement and EU/ECJ jurisdiction.
The next four options involve acceptance of the WA.
- Of those four options, two involve returning to free movement and EU/ECJ jurisdiction.
- The other two are effectively the same/are not mutually exclusive - a standard free trade agreement requires the WA anyway.
No Deal is the legal default and thus cannot be eliminated unless one of the above commands an overall Commons majority.
I reckon that anything that involves free movement and a return to full EU/ECJ jurisdiction will not happen. That leaves the other three options. I reckon the most likely is that a standard free trade agreement will be the most popular, but since this is conditional on the WA being agreed, it could fail to command a majority.