Barra333
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- barra333
I guess drinking for statements like "landslide" and "wipeout" are irresponsible?Drink every time there's a GAIN from Conservative but make sure you have your will sorted.
I guess drinking for statements like "landslide" and "wipeout" are irresponsible?Drink every time there's a GAIN from Conservative but make sure you have your will sorted.
They will lead to your own wipeout.I guess drinking for statements like "landslide" and "wipeout" are irresponsible?
You don't.Parliamentary systems still confuse my brain so somebody explain to me this: How the heck do you vote for the party leaders themselves?
Most of them doWhat if your favorite party's has an idiot leader?
You don't. Neither the current Prime Minister nor his predecessor have ever faced a General Election as their party leader before.How do you guarantee that a party doesn't simply soak up your votes but then choose a leader that they want rather than what the people were aiming for?
They can gerrymander the country just as much as you do but instead of explicitly voting for Joseph Biden or Donald Trump, you're essentially voting for Democratic Party or Republican Party rather than for those parties' chosen leaders.Parliamentary systems still confuse my brain
It doesn't. First Past The Post is an awful system in a constituency-based, parliamentary system.How does your system deal with voters who feel disenfranchised?
A real case - Labour in 2007. Tony Blair still had enough charm to win the election for Labour but then due to a gentleman's agreement he stepped down as leader and Gordon Brown became Prime Minister. Everyone knew it was going to happen but people still hated it.Have there ever been examples where a party may have strong support in an election but choose a leader that their voters actually hate?
We're not quite as two-party as the US is, even if we haven't had anyone other than Torys or Labour in 102 years. A strong showing from a third or even forth party, as i imagine we'll get this time around, is usually a good show of hands that tactical voting has been in play and the big two's chosen leaders aren't so popular.How does your system deal with voters who feel disenfranchised? Have there ever been examples where a party may have strong support in an election but choose a leader that their voters actually hate?
There’s also a fairly significant crossover from Labour to Reform. The right-wing “working class”, gradually drifting from 80s/90s Labour via Boris’ Red Wall to Farage.We're not quite as two-party as the US is, even if we haven't had anyone other than Torys or Labour in 102 years. A strong showing from a third or even forth party, as i imagine we'll get this time around, is usually a good show of hands that tactical voting has been in play and the big two's chosen leaders aren't so popular.
Those who would noemaly vote Tory, but dislike Sunak, will go either Reform or LibDem. Those that normal vote Labour but dislike Starmer, will go either Green or LibDem.
What are the drinking triggers?
I was up at my dads over the weekend and we were talking politics, as you do. He lives in what has always been a firm tory ward, York Outer (his MP was in the year above me at school!) - but according to the electoral calculus website there's now a 94% chance of that seat shifting to Labour. Where my mum is, Harrogate where i grew up, its been tory for a fairly long time, although it was LibDem when i was still at home, has a 82% chance of going to the Libs. Where i am now, Sheffield Central, is a Labour stronghold and is set to stay that way even though the much-loved previous MP is stepping down and a largely unknown Labour candidate is running. Even the Greens are predicted to gain 32% of the votes.It could get very messy.
Funnily enough, two of my high school teachers stood for election that night - both of them were my Modern Studies teacher at some point, Robin Harper (Green, though moved to Labour just a few weeks ago), and Graham Sutherland (SNP).
Do not attempt this without an ambulance on standby. From The Times (quoting a More In Common poll, who are consistently the most optimistic about Tory chances!)
It could get very messy.
Me to my boss Friday morningThe cabinet ministers predicted to lose their seats include Jeremy Hunt, Grant Shapps, Alex Chalk, David TC Davies, Simon Hart, Victoria Prentis, Johnny Mercer and Michael Tomlinson
It'll be worth it.Edit: Peakcock gives me Sky News. Great, I have to get the worst streaming service ever just to watch a furrin election.
Yes, I reckon if the Tories get a serious whipping and everyone picks up votes from them, they may be weakened sufficiently to resort to some kind of deal with Reform with Fartage in a senior role, if not party leader.As much as i'd like to see the Tories decimated, as they deserve to be, my fear is that it would only open the door further for Reform to get a broader foothold. Or perhaps worse, Johnson getting leadership again with his cult of MAGA-lite followers.
Yes, it's Farage that is the dangerHmm, I didn't know Peacock covered blood sports, but there you go.
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Yes, I reckon if the Tories get a serious whipping and everyone picks up votes from them, they may be weakened sufficiently to resort to some kind of deal with Reform with Fartage in a senior role, if not party leader.
Yes, though he has had his arse handed to him several times.Farage has never won a seat ever.
And yet is still one of the most influential politicians of his generation.Farage has never won a seat ever.
Sadly that is extremely likely to end tomorrow. He picked the constituency very wisely. Clacton is 97% white, 1/3 pensioners and half “economically inactive”. Prime fodder for his type of politics.Farage has never won a seat ever.
Would that be their follow up single: Thing's Can't Possibly Get Any Worse?Beautiful day to **** the Tories.
I was hoping at least for a bit of cheeky D:ream going on.