Chances of an asteroid colliding with earth in 2036?

[Pink_the_Floyd]

I already see myself coming into the hospital:

Nurse: "How can I help you?"

Me: "*sigh*...........I got hit by an asteroid"

Nurse:

👍

 

[Famine]

It's called an obscure British Literary Reference. But if I explain it, it wouldn't be funny anymore.

I'll explain the theory.

What's the least likely thing that regularly happens? Maybe it's horses winning at odds of 25 to 1. Hell, you hear about 100 to 1 shots coming in fairly commonly. But above 100 to 1, nothing really happens because it's quite unlikely.

But then you frequently hear of "million to one" shots: the million to one baby; the guy with the knife in his skull who survived at odds of a million to one. So million to one shots are quite common really. There's some magical significance about "a million to one" that makes it much more likely than, say, 998,127 to one, 127,904 to one or 5,500 to one.

So at odds of between ~100 to 1 and a million to 1, nothing happens. 5,500 to one? Never happen. So quit worrying.

 

[GT Pro]

Okay, so in 1998 NASA officially began the Spaceguard Survey by taking on the objective of finding 90 percent of the near Earth asteroids larger than 1 kilometre (3,280 feet) diameter within 2008, right?.

Well as you may know Asteroid 99942 Apophis, (2004 MN4) is only estimated to be roughly over 320 meters (1,000 feet) in diameter.
As experts suggest If it turned out that the Asteroid collides with Earth, it actually would not set off world-wide havoc but would create major local or regional damage.

So not all of us are going to be really affected in terms of world-wide destruction, but..... the world's economies would dramatically be affected which would cause a much worse event than say, a world-wide depression.

This would bring on a significant downfall and perhaps the end of humankind due to the starving and war which would be incredibly detrimental to all of us.

 

[niky]

Nah. I have more faith in mankind than that. But the economic effects would definitely be staggering.

At 320 meters, it is still technically difficult to blow to smithereens. Consider that just a few meters of rock over a bunker would protect you from a point blank nuclear blast. But it's still relatively easy to deflect, given enough lead time.

And to get the asteroid hit at a million to one exactly, we'd have to say that the chances of that asteroid hitting Osama Bin Laden on the head are exactly one million to one. My fingers are crossed.

 

[VeilsideR33sub]

Someone's got to have a missile ready , though , whatever the odds as the full trajectory cannot be fully known until it is well inh the Solar System.

Why? well, any previous impacts on Earth have been so devastating as to make nuclear missiles seem like hard work .
If in Anyway it looks like it has our field in it's sights and something will have to be welded together and bleasted up there at it.