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A friend of mine suggested this about two weeks ago, and evidence appears to be growing that this could be the case.COVID might be a vascular disease.
A vascular viral infection that starts as a respiratory disease is according to the author "virtually unheard of" but apparently fits some of the facts.
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The infection rate will inevitably increase as social interactions (including workplaces) are ramped up again, but the question is whether testing, tracking and tracing can keep a lid on the infection rate and keep it within manageable bounds.
A lot is being made of the 'R' number, but it is nigh on impossible to know the R value accurately, and it is also not the only consideration. The raw number of people carrying the virus is also not known, but is just as important as any other metric... outbreaks across the globe started from just a handful of infected individuals - now every country in the world has thousands of infected people, many (if not the great majority of which) will never know that they were infected (and infectious).
The R number in the UK is now a lot lower than it was at the beginning of the outbreak, and yet the number of new cases each day is still around double that of when the lockdown was imposed; this is simply because of the sheer number of infectious people... each one is, on average, infecting fewer people (less than one, as opposed to around 3 or 4 each), but there is far more people to spread the virus now than there was... hence conditions are perfect for a second wave which, without maintaining efforts to limit the spread of the virus, could be alot worse than what we have already seen. That being the case, a second lockdown may have to be imposed very quickly - and it remains to be seen how well that will be received by an already weary general public.