COVID-19/Coronavirus Information and Support Thread (see OP for useful links)

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If such relatively low fatalities are enough to warrant a shutting down of society, then I wonder how or why people ignore the number of other diseases, or otherwise harmful effects, that they expose themselves to on a daily basis, be it car emissions (or the chance of crashing), industry emissions, smoking, alcohol consumption and fat foods. The list goes on and they kill far more people.
We should be cautious during the early stages of a new threat. There are people pouring over the data trying to spot as yet unseen consequences. This pandemic might not be the one that warrants widespread disruption to our lives but we need to examine the threat fully before we accept it as something we have to live with.
 
One comparative statistic stands out to me:

South Korea - 7,755 cases, 54 deaths

Italy - 10,149 cases, 631 deaths

What's the explanation for that?

Older population, perhaps? Italy's population is Europe's oldest.

The average age of those killed is 81.
 
Italy has the second oldest population in the world and has a culture of physical contact and proximity.

I'm not sure but I think more people self quarantined sooner, compared to Italy.
 
I finish by saying that I really don't understand this war on panic. The only reason I see is mask shortages, but there's no mask on sale anymore. We don't have a lot of studies, but is it panic really worse than neglect and carelessness during an epidemic of this sort?"

If the goal is to minimize loss of life to coronavirus at all costs, yes spread panic as quickly as possible to as many people as possible. We want everyone scared and holed up.

if the goals is to minimize damage of all kinds surrounding this event, we need to avoid spreading panic. It's harder to measure the damage caused by businesses collapsing, jobs lost, products not brought to market, etc. but it is real and it will cost lives too.
 
One comparative statistic stands out to me:

South Korea - 7,755 cases, 54 deaths

Italy - 10,149 cases, 631 deaths

What's the explanation for that?
My feeling on this, based on what I’ve read. Is that Korea took it VERY seriously and basically stamped down on it hard very quickly.
They got vast amounts of people tested, cancelled events and actively monitored public transportation and decontaminated areas too.

Compare that to how the west has dealt with it and it’s night and day. Yet here we are, still failing to convince people that it isn’t ‘just the flu’.
 
One comparative statistic stands out to me:

South Korea - 7,755 cases, 54 deaths

Italy - 10,149 cases, 631 deaths

What's the explanation for that?

It wouldn't account for everything, but Italy has a larger population of older (65+) people (20% vs 13% for South Korea), and the percentage of males (who it sounds like are more at risk) to females, is also higher... so they have a higher % of population at risk, based on these simple demographics. 360% more tourists, probably don't help Italy, nor does it's 5 open land borders to S. Korea's none.
 
@Jawehawk you might be interested in this article from Time. It sort of adds credence to what you seem to be saying:

The WHO Estimated COVID-19 Mortality at 3.4%. That Doesn't Tell the Whole Story

I thank you for it, although it's more fun to read stuff that challenges your existing stance rather than reinforces it ;)


@Jawehawk I didn't suggest people should go into quarantine right now. Or that they should stock pile and prepare for the apocalypse. Following the advice of health authorities is pretty much all we can do.




Listen a couple of minutes starting from 30:41.

Very optimist predictions, given what we know atm, point to 60million people infected in the USA and 300.000 dead from this virus. That's considering a low 20% of population get infected and a very optimistic 0.5% death rate.

Numbers could go up to 60% infected and close to 2.000.000 dead with 1% death rate. In the USA alone.

ATM the death rate is between 1 and 2%, so things could be even worse.

I don't get the comparison with car crashes. Next thing we're talking about people who die of hunger and thirst. Seriously? This virus is something on top of all the other causes of death we have already. The chances of dying are higher if you have more things that can kill you. They're not mutually exclusive.

The number of infected people will get higher btw.


In that case I appear to have misjudged your stance. For a bit there I thought you were advocating that we impose a nation/worldwide quarantine. I bring up other causes of death not so much as a direct comparison, but rather to bring some perspective that I think is missing from the whole thing. Of course the number of infections will increase further, but I'll leave the estimates and guesstimates on the extend of that to people who know far better than I.

As I see it, we simply have to accept that not everything it under our control. We can and should fight disease with modern medicine, but at the same time, we should understand that we won't be entirely succesful in this endeavor, and perhaps recognize that that might not be a bad thing. As cruel as it might sound, if everyone lived to be a hundred, we'd have even more problems than we do now. Diseases are a natural, even if cruel, form of population control. This is far from the first, it'll be far from the worst, and it won't be the last. A hundred years ago, some 50 million people died from the Spanish Flu, with approximately 1/5th of the world having been infected. Admittedly, I can't remember if those 50 million were directly from the flu or a mix of the disease and the famine that might follow such a thing. Today, we are much better equipped to deal with and learn from it.
 
It wouldn't account for everything, but Italy has a larger population of older (65+) people (20% vs 13% for South Korea), and the percentage of males (who it sounds like are more at risk) to females, is also higher... so they have a higher % of population at risk, based on these simple demographics. 360% more tourists, probably don't help Italy, nor does it's 5 open land borders to S. Korea's none.

I wasn't aware that Italy had such an aged population. I knew that Japan had a very old population (the oldest in the world) & I was assuming that South Korea would have a similar demographic. Looking into it just now, it does appear that S. Korea currently has a significantly lower percentage of old people than Japan (or Italy for that matter) BUT ... the birth rate in S. Korea is now the lowest in the world, so the demographics are going to change dramatically over the coming years.
 
UK virus cases jump to 460
The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in Britain has now reached 460, after the biggest rise in a single day.


 
17 known cases in Colorado this morning (I assume that's roughly 10% of the actual cases, so maybe 170 infected, many in Denver). And while I was out today I saw many older people shopping. One man, who must have been in his 80s, was driving a scooter through a checkout line with oxygen being supplied through nasal tubing.

So far I have not noticed any shift in public demographics toward a younger average age. And if anything, crowds are bigger.
 
Bit of a quieter day in work today, we had a lot of toilet roll in when I started my shift and when I finished it we had sold out, I was mostly looking bemused at the people buying 10 4 packs of toilet roll. A few customers said to me that some of our rivals stores were just cleaned out of everything.

When we get more toilet roll in it will be restricted to 3 per customer, that will be fun trying to tell people that they cant buy more!
 
17 known cases in Colorado this morning (I assume that's roughly 10% of the actual cases, so maybe 170 infected, many in Denver). And while I was out today I saw many older people shopping. One man, who must have been in his 80s, was driving a scooter through a checkout line with oxygen being supplied through nasal tubing.

So far I have not noticed any shift in public demographics toward a younger average age. And if anything, crowds are bigger.

On the subject of old people, fox news seems to be having a crisis of identity regarding coronavirus:

On the one hand, it's absolutely perfect fodder for their paranoia/conspiracy peddling

...but on the other hand, it's detrimental to their guy, and it's beyond a stretch, even for Fox News, to make it brown people's fault. There's no silver bullet of xenophobic dumbassery that is applicable. So mostly...the coronavirus seems to have minimal coverage on Fox vs CNN & others. There does seem to be some garbage about the wall being necessary to keep coronavirus out. Is that messaging effective on anyone at this point? I could see a wall secluding California, New York, Flordia and Washington state as at least conceptually plausible...but Mexico? Is there really anyone dumb enough to believe that is a useful mitigation approach to coronavirus?
 
I mean they can blame China, right?



I should introduce you to my Facebook feed :lol:

I don't see much utility in blaming china at this point. Actions stemming from that particular channel of dumbassery are very limited. We can't plausibly make coronavirus go away by nuking or tariffing China into submission. That's all that Trump and the gang have: Bullying, Bribing, Baffooning, and Bluffing - The four tenants of Dumbass Donald & Co - none useful against a virus that is already here.
 
Seattle just shut public schools

https://www.kuow.org/stories/seattle-public-schools-closes-for-two-weeks-due-to-coronavirus-outbreak

What exactly do they expect to improve in 2 weeks?

She had cited equity concerns as a major reason to leave schools open, because many low-income children rely on services like free school breakfast and lunch.

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Denmark shuts schools and universities to curb spread of coronavirus
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/denm...nEGY7oL8dQU7v1MQzyYHD9MTI0Mr0LVS&guccounter=1

COPENHAGEN, March 11 (Reuters) - Denmark will close all schools, universities and day care facilities in the coming days to curb the spread of coronavirus, the country's prime minister said on Wednesday.

In addition, all employees in the public sector with non-critical jobs are to be sent home starting Friday, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said at a news conference.
 
What concerns me a good deal is how & when will we know the appropriate time to say "all clear". I don't see the economic carnage halting until then...but who can honestly predict when that will be? A few months? A few years? I'd believe either.
 
What concerns me a good deal is how & when will we know the appropriate time to say "all clear". I don't see the economic carnage halting until then...but who can honestly predict when that will be? A few months? A few years? I'd believe either.
IMHO, the "all-clear" signal is issued either when (a) herd immunity is achieved or (b) an effective vaccine is in wide use.
 
What concerns me a good deal is how & when will we know the appropriate time to say "all clear". I don't see the economic carnage halting until then...but who can honestly predict when that will be? A few months? A few years? I'd believe either.

This is life now. Get used to it.
 
President Trump has announced that all travel to Europe (not the UK) has been suspended for 30 days starting at midnight on Friday.
 
And lets see how big the political side of this thread gets with new fire.

Good luck everyone. :cheers:
Did people stop drinking beer?
Plenty on the shelves today.
 
Following a player on the Utah Jazz testing positive for the coronavirus, and two players falling ill prior to the Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder game (postponed), the NBA has suspended the season.

Player to test positive for the virus is C Rudy Gobert.
 
President Trump has announced that all travel to Europe (not the UK) has been suspended for 30 days starting at midnight on Friday.
Understandable given that the UK has managed to avoid--

:lol:

I couldn't finish it.
 

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