Formula 1 has to ditch the technology cutting edge appeal and build up something more of a show and forget the eletrification route. In a future where people will rent cars that drive themselves, the motorsport culture will be centered aroudn individuals doing something extraordinary - driving their own cars to insane levels of speed and control by the point of view of those people - and not around the cars. That means no auto-driving, off course, but also more crude and simple tech, as manual gearboxes and whatnot. Don't see huge manufacturers being keen on expending inordinate amounts of money promoting that.
In this context, even loud combustion engines can be used as a way of contributing to the show aspect. Combustion cars racing around a track would be like, after de internal combustion engine, going to see horse racing.
I don't know what is the hive mind opinion on short saturday races, but that's probably something that'll drive me away from F1 for good.
Leave the wings, take away the fancy semi auto gearbox and see what happens.
Agree with a lot of that, I can see motorsport going back more to the 60s where it was more a clubman affair - Ken Tyrell built cars in a sheed in a lumber yard for example. Cooper, Chapman, McLaren etc all just went putting a car together.
If we switch to road cars for a moment - leasing will become normal, Volvo are floating the idea of a subscription - just like spotify or netflix. No-one is going to own a car. With that goes the interest and enthusiasts. Cars will become white goods even more than they are now.
Secondly, performance models will just become a trim level, because an EV drivetrain is very powerful already - Volvo for example just unveiled a completely dull/unassuming SUV. It has the equivelent of 400hp and no doubt, loads of torque. Imagine that drivetrain in a saloon car - whats the performance model going to have ? 600hp ? and probably more torque than the tyres can stand off a traffic light - the difference in reality will be so small it just won't be worth buying.
So, if people aren't interested in performance, is motorsport going to sell cars ? I don't think so, and if it doesn't then manufacturers will pull out. Once the big money has gone it will rev ert to "blokes (and ladies) in sheds". Ross Brawn made a comment some time ago when he joined the FIA that at some point Manufacturers and Formula 1 will head in different directions.
For an example, look at Roborace and how its failed to gain any significant interest - loads of technical innovation to be explored but it doesn't have the commercial appeal. Even Formula E has seen both Audi and BMW quit recently.
Future generations will look back to the car culture/motorsport we've had since the 20s and how 100k people turned up to see a couple of dozen cars get driven around a circuit or how we used to buy cars, spend a fortune on "tuning" or making them look individual and so on and they'll be utterly baffled by how it was ever a thing.
I think enthusiast/fan interest will increasingly switch to historic racing and retro cars - right from the 20s through to say the 1990s or so - its already seeing increased interest over the past few years and I think it'll continue, gradually dying out through a few of generations.
I stopped watching F1 a few years ago, I realised I spent more time chatting with friends/browsing the internet than I did watching the actual race - I just had it on in the background. it just didn't really captivate me like it used to, so I just stopped watching and to be honest, I don't really miss it. I watch the GT/endurance/sportscar stuff more than I did and even NASCAR from time to time.
The last 4 or 5 generations have lived a golden age of motorsport and cars, there's probably a couple left and then it'll all be gone.