No need to guesstimate. VLN SP9 class cars (FIA GT3 class) usually do somewhere around 7:55 on the qualifying laps (roughly 5 seconds faster than pre-repavement era lap times). However, the time is for GP + Nordschleife, which is roughly 85-90 seconds longer than Nordschleife alone for those GT3 cars. Also, they often got some traffic on VLN qualification race, and the tire they use is not exactly the best one out there for 1-lap attack. So 6:37 is a fair bit slower than real life lap times of the same car.Porsche 911 GT2 RS. Lap time: 6:43:30.
MERCEDES-AMG BLACK SERIES. Lap time: 6:43:62.
LAMBORGHINI AVENTADOR SVJ. Lap time: 6:44:97.
^ These are real life times set by real life drivers in ROAD cars.
The BMW M6 GT3 car is more than likely quite a bit faster than any of these 3 cars, especially in a long track like Nurburgring.
There is no circuit experience related trophy which requires gold from circuit experience. The highest tier trophy only requires 15 bronze. Anyway, I tried each sector and full lap exactly once (without a retry), and I got SGGSS DSSGG S S (D = DNF), and I got the gold for the full lap on my second try. This is a bit better result compare to my first try on super license (though I used wheel instead of dual sense), so I would say anyone who got the all gold on the license test could also do all gold on this sooner or later if they're willing to.10% get gold? That's quite optimistic. I think Zocker is right and closer to 1% will manage it. I haven't looked but is there a trophy for all circuit experience gold? That will tell us eventually.
Currently, 1.2% of all PSN profiles ever launched GT7 got the license all gold trophy and 6.31% among the profiles scanned by PSNProfiles got this (both are likely to be increased over time). Of course fewer people are willing to do this, but same goes for the license all gold. Many people didn't even try to get all gold on license because they lack the motivation to do so. If someone offer $10k prize for getting all gold on either super license or this one, I'm pretty sure a lot more than 1% people will get gold.
On the other hand, if someone offer $1 million for getting 6:37 or faster on real life Nordschleife with GT3 class cars as well as free track/car rentals, and the entire population at least give it a few tries, I expect far less than 1% of population (or even 0.1%) would achieve that.
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