North Korea, Sanctions, and Kim Jong-un

So what's Trump up to? To launch some Tomahawks on a random North Korean air base to show who's boss, like in Syria? Ooohh...

Y'know, North Korea isn't the one who won't shoot back. But since their missiles can't reach the continental US (yet), the targets would be South Korea and Japan, where the US military bases are located. The people of these two countries will be thankful to Trump for unexpected missile rains.

I just thought... Trump and Kim have something similar. Passion for missiles. :D
 
Rumor: The US will attack and decapitate the North Korean regime. The Chinese armies waiting on the Yalu will then descend upon the remaining nuclear sites and install a more compliant regime in Pyongyang. The US armada arrives on scene Thursday.
 
Rumor: The US will attack and decapitate the North Korean regime. The Chinese armies waiting on the Yalu will then descend upon the remaining nuclear sites and install a more compliant regime in Pyongyang. The US armada arrives on scene Thursday.
My question here, even though this is a rumor, is what would China gain from American military action and a downfall of the DPRK?

I could see a more compliant regime as being beneficial for reducing tensions in the area (as Kim Jong-Un and colleagues keep trying to provoke us, forcing us to ramp up pressure).
 
My question here, even though this is a rumor, is what would China gain from American military action and a downfall of the DPRK?

I could see a more compliant regime as being beneficial for reducing tensions in the area (as Kim Jong-Un and colleagues keep trying to provoke us, forcing us to ramp up pressure).

What I said in a prior post, one they would have a trade partner not held down by sanctions anymore that both them and the U.S. seem to be agreed upon. Two, they wouldn't have a massive group of refugees trying to flee into China. Three, and probably the most important for China, there would be no U.S. presence on their border, which is something China for some time been against.

Finally it would pivot China into an area of the international stage that would be quite favorable at first glance.
 
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Wait you're saying they're right to use this obviously crude justification as a means for developing something that has been in the works since the second and perhaps first term of Bush? This is one the rare times (if you're being serious) that I disagree. Trump's bs aside, the global community is at threat with North Korea having such capabilities, and many think that after the last test, they're not a nation to scoff at.

Perhaps I worded that poorly.

I think Trump's aggression is certainly a (partial) justification for NK to continue their weapons programs, at least from their own perspective. Myself and the rest of the world would be safer without a loose cannon like NK having weapons of mass destruction, but from their point of view I think it's probably sane to be very scared and to want to arm themselves with whatever they can. While I dislike it, I find it hard to really blame a country for acting in it's own best interests.

We'd all be safer if North Korea was peaceful or didn't have significant military capability. Unfortunately that isn't the world we live in, and I don't really see an easy path to there from where we are now. We have a North Korea that is certainly armed, and looking like it's about to be backed into a corner by the strongest military in the world.

Personally, I don't think Trump flexing his military muscle makes relationships easier with any of a number of countries, NK being one of them. There are plenty of places that have good reason to fear US military intervention. Diplomacy is preferred, but I think against countries with WMD the threat of military action comes with significant risk. Cold war game theory starts coming pretty strongly into play, in that the only side that has even a chance of coming out on top is the one that strikes first with no warning and full strength.
 
At this point, the world might just have to learn to live with a nuclear North. Kim won't give the weapons up unless they're taken from him, and that means a war - and possibly a nuclear exchange. The United States might be out of reach for now, but that just means that someone else will suffer in the worst-case scenario.
 
would China gain from American military action and a downfall of the DPRK?
One obvious thing China could gain is North Korea itself. Who knows what the power brokers may have decided. Failing that, a united Korea that is friendly to both China and the US sounds like a win for everyone - except for Kim and his cronies of course. The point being that China could easily stand to gain from getting rid of Kim Jong-un.
 
Perhaps I worded that poorly.

I think Trump's aggression is certainly a (partial) justification for NK to continue their weapons programs, at least from their own perspective. Myself and the rest of the world would be safer without a loose cannon like NK having weapons of mass destruction, but from their point of view I think it's probably sane to be very scared and to want to arm themselves with whatever they can. While I dislike it, I find it hard to really blame a country for acting in it's own best interests.

We'd all be safer if North Korea was peaceful or didn't have significant military capability. Unfortunately that isn't the world we live in, and I don't really see an easy path to there from where we are now. We have a North Korea that is certainly armed, and looking like it's about to be backed into a corner by the strongest military in the world.

Personally, I don't think Trump flexing his military muscle makes relationships easier with any of a number of countries, NK being one of them. There are plenty of places that have good reason to fear US military intervention. Diplomacy is preferred, but I think against countries with WMD the threat of military action comes with significant risk. Cold war game theory starts coming pretty strongly into play, in that the only side that has even a chance of coming out on top is the one that strikes first with no warning and full strength.

Yes but just because a nation is sovereign doesn't give them said ability to pursue such goals. There was an paper I had in a class about this that I'll find and post up, that gives me view on how nations should and shouldn't be allowed to have such weapons.

NK doesn't want an easier relationship, they haven't for some time, long before Trump got in. There will always be significant risk and it seems NK don't understand the theory of Mutually Assured Destruction, if they did they'd be trying to approach this with some rationality. The difference between Russia vs U.S. cold war scenario is yes it was brutal proxy war wise and economically, but that's it. The idea that post Cuban Missile Crisis (and I'd even argue that), that both nation's were just waiting to bomb each other isn't so. They understood the MAD Theory and it's exactly why things never were going to get further than, country A backs this small nation against country B's contestant.

NK doesn't strike anyone as that same length of shrewd rational. They seem more off the wall, and I agree don't respond well to being backed in a corner. The problem is, that they're making heavy handed threats themselves with a device that isn't a joke as we all know.
 
Yes but just because a nation is sovereign doesn't give them said ability to pursue such goals. There was an paper I had in a class about this that I'll find and post up, that gives me view on how nations should and shouldn't be allowed to have such weapons.

IMO, nobody should be allowed to have nuclear weapons. But that's not how it works.

If the current nuclear powers want to dictate to others that they shouldn't be developing them. I think that requires at the very least reducing current stockpiles. I've got no time for hypocritical governments that are of the opinion that they and only they should hold nukes because they're the only ones responsible enough.

But you can't expect any nation facing an existential threat to simply bend over, grab their ankles and grit their teeth. They will do whatever they can to survive, no matter how odious a society they may appear to be or actually are. That's how self-interest and survival instincts work.

NK doesn't want an easier relationship, they haven't for some time, long before Trump got in. There will always be significant risk and it seems NK don't understand the theory of Mutually Assured Destruction, if they did they'd be trying to approach this with some rationality. The difference between Russia vs U.S. cold war scenario is yes it was brutal proxy war wise and economically, but that's it. The idea that post Cuban Missile Crisis (and I'd even argue that), that both nation's were just waiting to bomb each other isn't so. They understood the MAD Theory and it's exactly why things never were going to get further than, country A backs this small nation against country B's contestant.

It turned out that both USSR and the US understood and that neither wanted to be the nation that destroyed the world, but at the same time both of them were incredibly wary of the idea that the OTHER party didn't understand (communications not being at an all time high) and that there would be some technological leap that would make destruction no longer mutually assured. Hence, Cuban Missile Crisis. But also stuff like Star Wars, which turned out to be largely bollocks but scared the bejeesus out of the USSR.

As far as wanting an easier relationship, it's a bit of a chicken and egg thing as far as I can tell. All the way back to the foundation of NK and SK it's been aggressive diplomacy from both sides. I'd say that neither the US and it's allies or NK want an easier relationship at this point.

NK doesn't strike anyone as that same length of shrewd rational. They seem more off the wall, and I agree don't respond well to being backed in a corner. The problem is, that they're making heavy handed threats themselves with a device that isn't a joke as we all know.

Quite. On the other hand, they're not making heavy handed threats just for ***** and giggles. They're on the precipice of outright war with the US, and have been for years. It's not about rational, they have an actual threat opposing them. The west would rather see that regime gone (and for good reason) and so they obviously don't want to just roll over. Can you blame them?

If Russia and China joined up and said "Trump and the US government are a threat to it's own people and the rest of the world. Disband and allow us to form a new government for you or face military action" I think the US and a lot of the western world would tell them to shove it in an orifice.

Why would NK react any differently? Most people don't see themselves as the bad guy, remember. They see an existential threat (and I think a plausible one), and wish to communicate that they have the ability (they hope) to play at that level if they're pushed to it. They don't want to destroy the world or they'd have done it already, but nuclear weapons are only really of use if the other side knows that you have them and believes that you're willing and able to use them. I'd say NK are playing that part of it just right. Everyone believes that they'd actually push the button, which is entirely the point and the best way to never have to actually do it (short of everyone disarming).
 
IMO, nobody should be allowed to have nuclear weapons. But that's not how it works.

Agreed

If the current nuclear powers want to dictate to others that they shouldn't be developing them. I think that requires at the very least reducing current stockpiles. I've got no time for hypocritical governments that are of the opinion that they and only they should hold nukes because they're the only ones responsible enough.

But you can't expect any nation facing an existential threat to simply bend over, grab their ankles and grit their teeth. They will do whatever they can to survive, no matter how odious a society they may appear to be or actually are. That's how self-interest and survival instincts work.

It does which is why there has been reduction from those who agreed and are apart of NPT, if you aren't apart of it, then what do you care about NPT for, you don't.

It turned out that both USSR and the US understood and that neither wanted to be the nation that destroyed the world, but at the same time both of them were incredibly wary of the idea that the OTHER party didn't understand (communications not being at an all time high) and that there would be some technological leap that would make destruction no longer mutually assured. Hence, Cuban Missile Crisis. But also stuff like Star Wars, which turned out to be largely bollocks but scared the bejeesus out of the USSR.

Yes but it could be argued that even the Cuban missile crisis, which the U.S. antagonized with their own defense system on Russia's front door prior, wasn't going to actually launch a nuclear weapon through rational means. In reality the fear was that a false launch or aggressive act would cause an over reaction and start a chain of events that would end the world or a large portion. Which is why the crisis is seen as such, but not something that is similar to N. Korea actually prodding the world like a child and saying, "look guys i have a gun watch me use it one of you".

As far as wanting an easier relationship, it's a bit of a chicken and egg thing as far as I can tell. All the way back to the foundation of NK and SK it's been aggressive diplomacy from both sides. I'd say that neither the US and it's allies or NK want an easier relationship at this point.

That's because of the idea of reunification, I'd say that it's less a result of the west and more of the history and isolationism and culture of North Korea, to not want to conduct relations. The goal at the end of the day is to make Korea one nation, and obviously that's a conflict because of the stark contrast in how both sides want to reach said goal.

Quite. On the other hand, they're not making heavy handed threats just for ***** and giggles. They're on the precipice of outright war with the US, and have been for years. It's not about rational, they have an actual threat opposing them. The west would rather see that regime gone (and for good reason) and so they obviously don't want to just roll over. Can you blame them?

That's my point it's not a joke and that's why it should be taken serious and so N. Korea shouldn't be surprised when serious reaction take place. Yes I can blame them, they are a regime, end of. Regimes don't get to prance the world over and do what they want. I make the same damn argument for Imperialism acts done by the west in the name of Globalization. No one party gets to put the world on watch and then claim defense, doesn't work that way, never will and if they think they're special then what comes next will be just as special for said mentality. Which is currently what we're seeing.

It'd be much easier for the Kim family to be the special little regime they are in solitude like they had been for decades before the 90s, and do their thing with out nuclear weapons.

If Russia and China joined up and said "Trump and the US government are a threat to it's own people and the rest of the world. Disband and allow us to form a new government for you or face military action" I think the US and a lot of the western world would tell them to shove it in an orifice.

Yes but that would take far more than just China and Russia, in the case of N. Korea most of the world and to a degree even China, sees an issue. And if this actually comes to some military action that @Dotini has said rumors suggest, then clearly China saw it an even bigger issue then first thought.

Why would NK react any differently? Most people don't see themselves as the bad guy, remember. They see an existential threat (and I think a plausible one), and wish to communicate that they have the ability (they hope) to play at that level if they're pushed to it. They don't want to destroy the world or they'd have done it already, but nuclear weapons are only really of use if the other side knows that you have them and believes that you're willing and able to use them. I'd say NK are playing that part of it just right. Everyone believes that they'd actually push the button, which is entirely the point and the best way to never have to actually do it (short of everyone disarming).

Yes but being ignorant or deciding to be, isn't a defense. Deciding to launch ballistic missiles at another nation for no purpose other than because you can and "testing", doesn't make you the good guy in any possible argument. I don't think N. Korea are playing a part, I think they're sincere in their actions. Even Iran isn't this obtuse with their own program which is why I've made the argument that their shouldn't be any intervention their.

Also the difference is that Iran actually has moderates and conservative leaders on and off, the country arguably is more moderate than it was under Mr. "Holocaust is a western lie". N. Korea's people and the world in general don't get that luxury, they deal with the same Regime family just a different member after some time, but same ideals.

I don't think this idea of North Korea supposedly wont do it and just want attention is all that real, it could be but you could easily achieve that without every conducting missile tests in the manner that was seen.
 

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Kim Jong Un orders 600,000 from their homes in Pyongyang in a effort "to curb population"

If you doubt the article's authenticity, the Korea JoongAng Daily is affiliated with the New York Times, and is one of the largest English speaking newspaper in South Korea.

Obviously, this information remains unverified by the South Korean government as of post time.

EDIT: If you want a reference, the city's population was 2.6 million before the deportation. Jong Un's deportation order affects roughly a quarter of that number.
 
The goal at the end of the day is to make Korea one nation, and obviously that's a conflict because of the stark contrast in how both sides want to reach said goal.

Is that really the goal?

I'm not sure that should be the goal. It's been two or three generations since the split.

That's my point it's not a joke and that's why it should be taken serious and so N. Korea shouldn't be surprised when serious reaction take place. Yes I can blame them, they are a regime, end of. Regimes don't get to prance the world over and do what they want. I make the same damn argument for Imperialism acts done by the west in the name of Globalization. No one party gets to put the world on watch and then claim defense, doesn't work that way, never will and if they think they're special then what comes next will be just as special for said mentality. Which is currently what we're seeing.

Fair enough. I disagree. I think when it comes to national defense pretty much anything goes. North Korea are not the aggressor in this situation. They are the ones under threat of invasion and destruction.

If the US were to threaten to invade Australia with the intent of subverting our government and replacing it with one that was more to their liking, I would not be averse to our government pointing out that we have a couple of research reactors and some pretty solid aerospace knowledge, and that the US might want to reconsider lest they find themselves on the wrong end of a critical mass.

Yes but that would take far more than just China and Russia, in the case of N. Korea most of the world and to a degree even China, sees an issue.

So that means that NK shouldn't respond to military action against them? That they shouldn't attempt to defend their country with everything they have available?

I feel like you can't see past your hatred of NK to the fact that they're simply defending their country, just like you or I would. However the rest of the world sees them, those in power in NK will fight to hold onto their country.

Yes but being ignorant or deciding to be, isn't a defense. Deciding to launch ballistic missiles at another nation for no purpose other than because you can and "testing", doesn't make you the good guy in any possible argument.

I never said that they were good guys. I said that they don't think of themselves as evil. Just like Dubya and Trump don't think of themselves as evil. And they were/are advocating aggressive war beyond the borders of the US in the name of national defense.

And no, NK don't launch missiles just because they can. And yes, testing is something that happens, in weapons development more than anything else. As the US and Russia are well aware, being the ones that have irradiated the atmosphere to the point that we have to get metal from boats sunk before nuclear testing started in order to build detectors.

NK is certainly deliberately antagonistic sometimes, but so is every other nation. I don't particularly like the idea that what actions are and are not acceptable from a nation is dependent on what form it's government takes. It's not so long ago that a lot of Europe was under hereditary leaders also.

I don't think N. Korea are playing a part, I think they're sincere in their actions. Even Iran isn't this obtuse with their own program which is why I've made the argument that their shouldn't be any intervention their.

Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapons program. They have a nuclear program in all fields except military, because there are a lot of benefits to having access to power and isotopes.

NK do have a nuclear weapons program. They have openly admitted as much. Whether they're sincere or simply making others believe is largely irrelevant, because the result is identical. The public like yourself and those in military power cannot risk that they are truly sincere.
 
Kim Jong-un unveils 770ft 'ultra-modern, prestige' skyscraper complex (with no hot water) in the heart of Pyongyang as dictator orders removal of 600,000 'undesirables' from the city

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http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4408710/Kim-Jong-unveils-luxury-high-rise-no-hot-water.html

Missle launchers is disguise? :sly:

Not exactly the best time to move into a luxury high-rise in Pyongyang!
 
What's the point of all these fancy high rises that literally no one can afford to live in? Stimulate the economy giving their workers peanuts? The entire world is also aware it's all a sham and are not impressed, so surely they aren't doing it for any reason other than their own self appreciation.

It'll make a nice hotel once the regime falls, at least.
 
Kim Jong-un unveils 770ft 'ultra-modern, prestige' skyscraper complex (with no hot water) in the heart of Pyongyang as dictator orders removal of 600,000 'undesirables' from the city

3F34641200000578-0-image-a-31_1492080468081.jpg


3F341A6400000578-4408710-image-a-66_1492083941912.jpg


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4408710/Kim-Jong-unveils-luxury-high-rise-no-hot-water.html

Missle launchers is disguise? :sly:

Not exactly the best time to move into a luxury high-rise in Pyongyang!
Looking at the first photo...What are those round caps doing on the top of the skyscrapers?
 
What's the point of all these fancy high rises that literally no one can afford to live in?
It's called a Potemkin village. They're named for Grigory Potemkin, a Russian statesman who built fake villages along the Dneiper River to deceive Catherine the Great into thinking that the region was far more prosperous than it actually was.

North Korea actually has a few of them. Both the North and South are allowed one settlement in the Demilitarised Zone, and the North built a village of hollow, uninhabited houses as part of their propaganda machine. They also have a few in the areas where they allow tourism.

The entire world is also aware it's all a sham and are not impressed, so surely they aren't doing it for any reason other than their own self appreciation.
Which is the point. The North wants to convince its people that it's a modern, prosperous nation.
 
So North Korea is deporting people from areas so they can build fancy buildings they will never use, to convince the very same people their lives are great and their country is number one. And they believe them.

I guess I shouldn't be surprised anymore considering they've managed to convince an entire country their supreme leader doesn't poop.
 
NK do have a nuclear weapons program. They have openly admitted as much. Whether they're sincere or simply making others believe is largely irrelevant, because the result is identical. The public like yourself and those in military power cannot risk that they are truly sincere.

How effective do you think THAAD and AEGIS missile systems would be in knocking down North Korean Scud-derived ballistic missiles? The NK nuke weapons program has produced maybe 25 atomic bombs. We do not think any have been miniaturized for use atop a ballistic missile yet. So how realistic is it right now that any nuclear weapon could be delivered anywhere beyond NK borders? The only way NK could seriously harm anybody right now is by leveling Seoul with long-range artillery firing from tunnels in mountains. The 25 million people in and around Seoul would have to be evacuated prior to our attack. Given this and seeming Chinese acquiescence, what could possibly go wrong?
 
Is that really the goal?

I'm not sure that should be the goal. It's been two or three generations since the split.

You may not want it to be, but that is the goal and has been said to be by North Korea, South Korea also has the same wish, for a unified Korea. It's harder to argue if they're actually trying to do anything to make that happen like NK seem to be.

Fair enough. I disagree. I think when it comes to national defense pretty much anything goes. North Korea are not the aggressor in this situation. They are the ones under threat of invasion and destruction.

If the US were to threaten to invade Australia with the intent of subverting our government and replacing it with one that was more to their liking, I would not be averse to our government pointing out that we have a couple of research reactors and some pretty solid aerospace knowledge, and that the US might want to reconsider lest they find themselves on the wrong end of a critical mass.

Yet comparing a hypothetical to a real situation isn't all that helpful. Once again most of the international world sides with the U.S. on this and to some extent even China. North Korea is acting out, and doing so in an alarming fashion and needs to stop. If it were only the U.S. saying this you wouldn't see an argument from me.

So that means that NK shouldn't respond to military action against them? That they shouldn't attempt to defend their country with everything they have available?

I feel like you can't see past your hatred of NK to the fact that they're simply defending their country, just like you or I would. However the rest of the world sees them, those in power in NK will fight to hold onto their country.

Defend whom, the Kim family, that's all that North Korea is. Everyone else is decided upon already, either your favorable to said regime, or your not. The defense is from a dictatorship trying to grasp the seat of power as long as possible. I'm of little doubt that the mass of concentration camp slave laborers are going to resist the over throw of the Kim family.

I never said that they were good guys. I said that they don't think of themselves as evil. Just like Dubya and Trump don't think of themselves as evil. And they were/are advocating aggressive war beyond the borders of the US in the name of national defense.

And no, NK don't launch missiles just because they can. And yes, testing is something that happens, in weapons development more than anything else. As the US and Russia are well aware, being the ones that have irradiated the atmosphere to the point that we have to get metal from boats sunk before nuclear testing started in order to build detectors.

NK is certainly deliberately antagonistic sometimes, but so is every other nation. I don't particularly like the idea that what actions are and are not acceptable from a nation is dependent on what form it's government takes. It's not so long ago that a lot of Europe was under hereditary leaders also.

Well aware of the dark history of nuclear testing, like how the USSR tested for years near a population of a couple hundred thousand, and even had them come out of their homes during testing. However you don't launch weapons in any sort of test or exercise toward another nation. Even if they're never meant to reach and only fall short a couple hundred miles that doesn't excuse you.

Which is why many nations find places to test that are unpopulated. Also the example you give isn't even remotely the same. The ignorance of both nations early on during the building and discovery of nuclear weapons isn't the same. People are well aware of the dangers now and those pursuing ambitions have a road map, doesn't mean they should though.

Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapons program. They have a nuclear program in all fields except military, because there are a lot of benefits to having access to power and isotopes.

NK do have a nuclear weapons program. They have openly admitted as much. Whether they're sincere or simply making others believe is largely irrelevant, because the result is identical. The public like yourself and those in military power cannot risk that they are truly sincere.

Well aware of this Imari, the question of a weapons program is due to military grade enrichment facilities and centrifuges as well as a bank laundering money for said goal under Ahmadinejad. The deal under the moderate leader of current is back to what it was before Ahmadinejad, as a alternative energy source. Which is fine, which is why I said in my initial post, I have no qualms with Iran's nuclear program and the distinct difference between the two.

Also if Iran admitted to having a program at any point of military capability, they'd have broken several international treaties they've signed, and thus wouldn't show well for them.

At this point as much as this argument is stimulating, I would simply like to get back to it and say I think until shown otherwise by their actions, that they should be closely watched and measures should be taken. Since I'm taking a class on this exact type of thing so writing even more on the subject gets a bit tedious I suppose.

If you're not all that worried or see it as posturing that's fine. I don't and that's just how it will be for me.
 
What's the point of all these fancy high rises that literally no one can afford to live in? Stimulate the economy giving their workers peanuts? The entire world is also aware it's all a sham and are not impressed, so surely they aren't doing it for any reason other than their own self appreciation.

It'll make a nice hotel once the regime falls, at least.

It's mostly to impress NK's own people, it's power projection inwards.

As the Ryugyong Hotel revealed the build quality is often questionable in these buildings, I doubt they are actually fully usable structures.

Looking at the first photo...What are those round caps doing on the top of the skyscrapers?

Nukes :lol:
 
Well. Perhaps the Chinese are gathering to invade NK after the US air pummeling? Saves the Chinese a lot of bombing money, and the US doesn't have to deploy their troops.

Win-win?
As long as this doesn't start World War 3, I'm in no shape for boot camp.
 
You may not want it to be, but that is the goal and has been said to be by North Korea, South Korea also has the same wish, for a unified Korea. It's harder to argue if they're actually trying to do anything to make that happen like NK seem to be.

It's not about what I want, I was merely speaking about what might be best. Neither Palestine nor Israel want a two state solution, they both want total control. But the rest of the world tends to disagree.

Yet comparing a hypothetical to a real situation isn't all that helpful. Once again most of the international world sides with the U.S. on this and to some extent even China. North Korea is acting out, and doing so in an alarming fashion and needs to stop. If it were only the U.S. saying this you wouldn't see an argument from me.

You see it as acting out. I see it as making it clear that they will not tolerate military intervention and will go to extreme lengths to prevent it.

Well aware of the dark history of nuclear testing, like how the USSR tested for years near a population of a couple hundred thousand, and even had them come out of their homes during testing. However you don't launch weapons in any sort of test or exercise toward another nation. Even if they're never meant to reach and only fall short a couple hundred miles that doesn't excuse you.

Which is why many nations find places to test that are unpopulated. Also the example you give isn't even remotely the same. The ignorance of both nations early on during the building and discovery of nuclear weapons isn't the same. People are well aware of the dangers now and those pursuing ambitions have a road map, doesn't mean they should though.

They haven't launched a nuclear weapon towards any other countries. They've launched missile testers (at times under the guise of satellite launch vehicles).

Given their geographical location and size, by definition they're going to be launching "towards" another nation. It's not an option.

Launching towards South Korea starts an invasion, as SK has a military right on their border.
Launching towards China potentially loses them their one big ally.
So they've got towards the small Yellow Sea towards China, or towards the Sea of Japan. Japan already hates NK, but is unlikely to do anything about it other than complain. Technically they only have a defence force and are politically restricted from waging aggressive war.

It's all bad options, but if you're NK and set on testing your launch vehicle then it honestly seems like the best of the bunch.

At this point as much as this argument is stimulating, I would simply like to get back to it and say I think until shown otherwise by their actions, that they should be closely watched and measures should be taken. Since I'm taking a class on this exact type of thing so writing even more on the subject gets a bit tedious I suppose.

If you're not all that worried or see it as posturing that's fine. I don't and that's just how it will be for me.

I think they should be watched. I think it depends on what the measures are whether anything should be done. For example, I don't think we should be launching Tomahawks at them. I don't think that would help at all.

I haven't said that I'm not worried. I thought I was pretty clear that I'm vehemently against any military solutions to this sort of stuff, because I think it ends badly for everyone. I do not want to see initiation from NK or anyone else. Whether they're posturing or not is irrelevant, I understand why they're doing what they're doing for the sake of their country. I would hope that those in the US and other countries with their fingers on the buttons understand the same, and that you cannot simply bully a rabid dog into submission. It will rip your face off, even if at the cost of it's own life.

To understand that one has to be able to at least partially empathise with someone in power in NK, presumably someone who actually likes the country and would fight for it. They undoubtedly exist. I think that too many people are keen to simply dismiss North Koreans as insane, dictatorial tyrants and empoverished slaves. As a generalisation it may be accurate as far as it goes, but they're still people albeit in what is to us a fairly crazy situation. They don't have the freedom of movement that we have, so they can't just check out. They're stuck with it.

Given this and seeming Chinese acquiescence, what could possibly go wrong?

Sounds like famous last words to me. You want to roll the dice with nukes on the fact that the enemy may not be able to respond to you directly and may simply nuke SK and Japan?

I guess it's easy when you don't live in either of the targets that we know they can hit.
 
Well. Perhaps the Chinese are gathering to invade NK after the US air pummeling? Saves the Chinese a lot of bombing money, and the US doesn't have to deploy their troops.

Win-win?

To be fair this tension has created the best warming of Washington Beijing relations in a long time, it's been quite a while since both states have been on the same page over something and it's kind of good if you ignore the whole 'this could end in nuclear apocalypse' thing :lol:. I read that the massing of troops on the border might be just to manage and administer the huge influx of NK refugees if things do hit the fan.

There was also and interesting article about how the world thinks Kim is nuts but he's actually a genius at extorting countries to keep the peace. All the sabre rattling gets him money to play ball, i.e. not bomb Seoul.

https://www.theguardian.com/comment...-calling-north-korea-crazy-understand-motives

However I never really got why Kim goes to SUCH extreme lengths to antagonise the rest of the world, he has a really good thing going there for himself (basically a god) so why poke the stick just that too far?
 
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