The GTP Unofficial 2020 US Elections Thread

GTPlanet Exit Poll - Which Presidential Ticket Did You Vote For?

  • Trump/Pence

    Votes: 16 27.1%

  • Biden/Harris

    Votes: 20 33.9%

  • Jorgensen/Cohen

    Votes: 7 11.9%

  • Hawkins/Walker

    Votes: 1 1.7%

  • La Riva/Freeman

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • De La Fuente/Richardson

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Blankenship/Mohr

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Carroll/Patel

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Simmons/Roze

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Charles/Wallace

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Other

    Votes: 15 25.4%
  • Total voters
    59
  • Poll closed .
Ooh, ooh...The former mayor of Lauderhill used to bring her car into service at my shop! Nice lady.

C8C0C35B-1AD6-4460-B4B4-C6C7EF4CFA3A.jpeg


Okay, not much else to add.
 
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huskeR32
From the Philadelphia Inquirer:



I seem to remember @Chrunch Houston, noted Normal™ person, saying that any notion of the USPS being part of active vote sabotage was "fake news" that only Democrat "pussies" would believe. Losing 300,000 votes and then ignoring a federal court order to find them certainly strikes me as concerning.
Click to expand...
Considering how many of my packages they lost this year, I am not surprised.
 
So far Florida is showing about a 5% polling error in favor of Trump. Probably means that all the southern and midwest states will be moving that direction as well. It's going to be very very close and polls were wrong yet again.
 
Indiana in, Biden up 85-72.

Edit: Biden up 119-94
 
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TB
Indiana in, Biden up 85-72.

Edit: Biden up 119-94
Click to expand...

Just curious what news source you're using because what it is, it's updating far quicker than anywhere else.
 
Joey D
Just curious what news source you're using because what it is, it's updating far quicker than anywhere else.
Click to expand...
FuriousDemon
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html
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TB
That one. :)
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How are they declaring winners though? New Mexico's polls only just closed, but NYT says Biden has won it - while it's not sure about Florida which closed three hours ago...

I'm watching the PA news feed and it's throwing up confirmed results that don't even seem to be half done with counting.

Edit: Like this:



The Dakotas literally closed 13 minutes ago.
 
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Famine
How are they declaring winners though? New Mexico's polls only just closed, but NYT says Biden has won it - while it's not sure about Florida which closed three hours ago...
Click to expand...

New Mexico has a lot less voters and voting precincts than Florida.

New Mexico has trended heavily Democratic for many years, so they tend to give a state the nod with like 5-10% counted. In any case, it all depends on if those are the most populous counties or precincts, so that the others won't tend to sway things.

For example, if the five most populous counties with 20% of the precincts in Mississippi lean Republican, it might represent 50% of the total vote count and then it really doesn't matter much what the others do, because some random county is much less likely to change their predicted outcome.

There's always a state or two which volleyball a bit right to the end.
 
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Famine
How are they declaring winners though? New Mexico's polls only just closed, but NYT says Biden has won it - while it's not sure about Florida which closed three hours ago...

I'm watching the PA news feed and it's throwing up confirmed results that don't even seem to be half done with counting.

Edit: Like this:



The Dakotas literally closed 13 minutes ago.
Click to expand...

I've never understood it either how they literally could have polls close and with 2% reporting, declared the winner. My guess is that the precincts reporting are the ones that could sway the election.
 
Blitz24
I've never understood it either how they literally could have polls close and with 2% reporting, declared the winner. My guess is that the precincts reporting are the ones that could sway the election.
Click to expand...
Im pretty sure that's how. That's why NYT is predicting NC win for Trump with 88% even though Biden is leading by 3% now.
 
Pupik
New Mexico has a lot less voters and voting precincts than Florida.
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We can't count every vote in one half of Sunderland inside half an hour. How is every vote - or a sufficient number of them to eliminate the possibility of one candidate making up the ground - in the entire state of New Mexico counted and verified in 10 minutes?


Exactly what constitutes a confirmed win, and why can no two outlets agree on this right now?
 
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Chrunch Houston
post office tells them to pound sand.
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Everything before this is irrelevant. Federal court orders should be followed. Period. They don't include clauses saying "you don't have to do this if you don't want to, or if Internet Man deems it unnecessary."
 
Hm...

"One thing that makes this situation pretty hard to analyze is how much we believe in Biden’s lead in Ohio. If Trump wins Florida, Georgia and North Carolina, he’s at about a 50 percent shot to win the Electoral College, per our scenario tester. But if Biden then wins Ohio, Trump chances plummet to 1 percent."

Wonder if Ohio numbers are real or not. Probably it's too optimistic for Biden right now.
 
Pupik
They use the S.W.A.G. Method.
Click to expand...
So... these are confirmed, declared wins in these states... but they're not actually confirmed or declared, just one particular outlet's projections?

Seems like it's actually 0-0 at the moment then, with Florida likely to be the first actual confirmed win by one candidate some time in the next hour.
 
huskeR32
Everything before this is irrelevant. Federal court orders should be followed. Period. They don't include clauses saying "you don't have to do this if you don't want to, or if Internet Man deems it unnecessary."
Click to expand...
People defy, and appeal court orders all the time. Appellate judges are there for a reason.


@Famine You might want to take the Trump destroys the 2nd amendment off of your list.



This is what destroying the 2nd amendment looks like.

Bump stock, psss. I never even heard of a bump stock until I saw some Russian guy on YouTube using one.
 
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TB
Eighteen percent reported, a statistical tie but Trump gets the win.
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Like... the actual win? Has he, right at this moment, secured North Dakota, regardless of where the other votes go?
Chrunch Houston
@Famine You might want to take the Trump destroys the 2nd amendment off of your list.
Click to expand...
I never had it on my "list". I said he broke it - he destroyed the Fifth Amendment.

Someone else breaking it more doesn't mean Trump didn't...
 
Famine
Like... the actual win? Has he, right at this moment, secured North Dakota, regardless of where the other votes go?
Click to expand...
No, it's a prediction but I don't understand how you can even do that when you only have 18% reporting and a statistical tie. Probably because ND is 99% Republican. :irked:

DC puts it at 122-92 Biden.
 
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lol trying to bring up an argument you ran away from multiple times as if you didn't run away from it multiple times and as if everyone isn't already aware that you ran away from it multiple times.
 
TB
No, it's a prediction
Click to expand...
Then this whole thing is mental. It's like calling the result of a football match in the first eight minutes when there's been no shots on goal, based on what the pools panel said.

I just want to know who has actually won each state... but in reality, right now, no state has declared a winner and nobody has any theoretically pledged EC votes... right?
 
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@Famine Right. It'll take days for certified final numbers. The legally certified counts must reach the EC by Dec. 8th.

Looks unsurprisingly like Florida and Texas are going for Trump. I look to Pennsylvania and the upper midwest to decide the matter.
 
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