The GTP Unofficial 2020 US Elections Thread

[Pupik]

So... these are confirmed, declared wins in these states... but they're not actually confirmed or declared, just one particular outlet's projections?

Seems like it's actually 0-0 at the moment then, with Florida likely to be the first actual confirmed win by one candidate some time in the next hour.

Actually, yes.

Just as there's 10-12 "key" states, most states have 3-5 counties which can swing it one way or another for the state. The rural counties rarely change, they usually go Republican, unless more suburban voters move out there. There's exceptions, like much of rural New England, or counties along the Rio Grande River in Texas, the Black Belt of Alabama, or northwestern Mississippi, which are predominantly POC (non-white) voters. But there's not enough folks in those counties to radically change the opinions of the more populous ones in that county.

 

[Joey D]

People defy, and appeal court orders all the time. Appellate judges are there for a reason.


@Famine You might want to take the Trump destroys the 2nd amendment off of your list.



This is what destroying the 2nd amendment looks like.

Bump stock, psss. I never even heard of a bump stock until I saw some Russian guy on YouTube using one.

It wasn't the bump stocks themselves, it was turning law-abiding gun owners into criminals virtually overnight that's the problem. Trump destroyed the 2A and Biden will likely try to do the same thing. Just because Candidate A is a hack when it comes to the Bill of Rights it doesn't magically make Candidate B any less of a hack.

 

[McLaren]

The reasoning I heard on one of the channels is that the early voting was so strong, they think those votes claimed the state. At least, I believe that's what Tim Kaine was saying in reference to Virginia.

 

[Northstar]

Still no results from Iowa. How long does it take to count 5 votes?

 

[Chrunch Houston]

Betting markets are breaking hard for Trump.

Biden was ahead up until about 6pm.

Then Trump took over.

 

[Pupik]

Still no results from Iowa. How long does it take to count 5 votes?

I'll never forget my first visit to Iowa. The service manager said to me: "What do you think of our over-sized importance on your national election choices every four years?"

 

[Blitz24]

In non-presidential news, New Jersey looks like it's set to legalize marijuana.

 

[GTFan24]

America is about to become the biggest joke in the entire planet after tonight

 

[CodeRedR51]

America is about to become the biggest joke in the entire planet after tonight

After tonight? Already has been.

 

[TB]

Kansas 131-98 Biden

 

[Pupik]

Okay, didn't really think Nebraska would be this close. Maine is also a surprise, leaning much more for Trump.

Both of these states allow for splitting up their electoral votes (NE: 3, ME: 2), interestingly.

 

[Dotini]

Pennsylvania probably won't have anything close to a certified count until at least Friday.

Indications are this 2020 election could be much closer than predicted by the polls. No surprise that.

 

[Joey D]

Welp, Utah got Cox for governor. I will treasure that his campaign slogan was "Cox for Utah". It's like didn't anyone tell him to say that out loud?

 

[Chrunch Houston]

Brad called it, it's over.

 

[Keef]

This is seriously why no one likes Florida. Period.

When's the last time you went to Florida? The entire state is literally full of extremists. It's absolutely miserable, and then you walk outside and your glasses fog up.

The only good thing I see about PA is that most of Trump's counties have been counted, but the dense urban counting still have 3/4 left to count, about 75% of which will go to Biden.

I've already given Florida, NC, and Texas to Trump...along with ND @TB North Dakota ranchers don't change.

EDIT: 538 predicted about .5% vote difference in Ohio. It's currently at 7%. Waaaaay off, and I don't expect it to change much.

WI is getting on my nerves. Green Bay's Brown county has only reported 3% and that's the reason Trump is ahead currently.

@Joey D Trump is going to win Flint and Grand Rapids. What the hell?

 

[OooAhh Cantona]

America is about to become the biggest joke in the entire planet after tonight

The past 4 years already took care of that.

 

[FuriousDemon]

When's the last time you went to Florida? The entire state is literally full of extremists. It's absolutely miserable, and then you walk outside and your glasses fog up.

The only good thing I see about PA is that most of Trump's counties have been counted, but the dense urban counting still have 3/4 left to count, about 75% of which will go to Biden.

I've already given Florida, NC, and Texas to Trump...along with ND @TB North Dakota ranchers don't change.

EDIT: 538 predicted about .5% vote difference in Ohio. It's currently at 7%. Waaaaay off, and I don't expect it to change much.

WI is getting on my nerves. Green Bay's Brown county has only reported 3% and that's the reason Trump is ahead currently.

@Joey D Trump is going to win Flint and Grand Rapids. What the hell?

GR is pretty racist, so wouldn’t be surprised there. Flint who knows. Seems like union voters are going for Trump based on early results. We’ll see where it ends.

 

[Danoff]

Arizona is looming big right now. It seems like just about the last really decent shot at not waiting days on Pennsylvania.

 

[Dotini]

North Carolina is still in play.
Michigan and Wisconsin will make a huge difference.

 

[Danoff]

North Carolina is still in play.
Michigan and Wisconsin will make a huge difference.

Michigan and Wisconsin are going to be with Pennsylvania counting mail in ballots tomorrow. But based on polling, Penn is expected to be the closest of those. Arizona can really help make this election more clear. At this point Georgia could too (but it doesn't look likely). NC is basically out of it, because that state is coming down to the wire, meaning no clear victory tonight probably.

 

[Dotini]

Michigan and Wisconsin are going to be with Pennsylvania counting mail in ballots tomorrow. But based on polling, Penn is expected to be the closest of those. Arizona can really help make this election more clear. At this point Georgia could too (but it doesn't look likely). NC is basically out of it, because that state is coming down to the wire, meaning no clear victory tonight probably.

Arizona is now called for Biden.
This result is first known difference to the results of 2016.
The path for Trump has now become narrower.

 

[Keef]

I've already given NC and MI to Trump in my mind. I think Biden will take AZ because the Phoenix numbers are just too big to overcome now, even though a bunch of them were early votes.

My map says Biden barely eeks out PA but loses MI. 274-263

 

[McLaren]

We won't know Michigan til' Friday. Wisconsin & Penn. don't seem like they'll be reporting a winner either. Georgia & NC look like they're being held up.

 

[FuriousDemon]

We won't know Michigan til' Friday. Wisconsin & Penn. don't seem like they'll be reporting a winner either. Georgia & NC look like they're being held up.

Michigan is now saying they should have numbers tomorrow instead of Friday.

 

[Chrunch Houston]

I am watching coverage on MSNBC, and a CNN commercial comes on and says for the best coverage, tune to CNN.

 

[Keef]

MT is leaning for Biden right now which is hilarious. A quick hit of the Google Maps says...not many people live outside the cities in MT. NYT is giving much info on the demographics of the ballots. The counties that are reporting in MT are nearly final but Helena, Great Falls, and Billings have yet to report, among numerous rural but virtually empty counties. Park County is leaning blue and is a rural county of only 15,000 people...wow, that's totally unlike any rural county in the Midwest. Missoula is going to Biden by 61%!

Can Biden pull MT just because of the few cities and otherwise empty counties? 538's map can't handle this scenario and says Biden's chances get worse if he takes MT.

Edit: Another rural county just came in MT, a whopping 4,500 votes, 73% Trump. Missoula sent over 39,000 to Biden, 61% of the total. Biden still leads, with three "big" cities left to report anything. Am I weird for thinking MT is interesting right now?

 

[FuriousDemon]

MT is leaning for Biden right now which is hilarious. A quick hit of the Google Maps says...not many people live outside the cities in MT. NYT is giving much info on the demographics of the ballots. The counties that are reporting in MT are nearly final but Helena, Great Falls, and Billings have yet to report, among numerous rural but virtually empty counties. Park County is leaning blue and is a rural county of only 15,000 people...wow, that's totally unlike any rural county in the Midwest. Missoula is going to Biden by 61%!

Can Biden pull MT just because of the few cities and otherwise empty counties? 538's map can't handle this scenario and says Biden's chances get worse if he takes MT.

Edit: Another rural county just came in MT, a whopping 4,500 votes, 73% Trump. Missoula sent over 39,000 to Biden, 61% of the total. Biden still leads, with three "big" cities left to report anything. Am I weird for thinking MT is interesting right now?

Trump won there by 20% last time. No way Montana is going Biden.

 

[Eunos_Cosmo]

MT is leaning for Biden right now which is hilarious. A quick hit of the Google Maps says...not many people live outside the cities in MT. NYT is giving much info on the demographics of the ballots. The counties that are reporting in MT are nearly final but Helena, Great Falls, and Billings have yet to report, among numerous rural but virtually empty counties. Park County is leaning blue and is a rural county of only 15,000 people...wow, that's totally unlike any rural county in the Midwest. Missoula is going to Biden by 61%!

Can Biden pull MT just because of the few cities and otherwise empty counties? 538's map can't handle this scenario and says Biden's chances get worse if he takes MT.

Edit: Another rural county just came in MT, a whopping 4,500 votes, 73% Trump. Missoula sent over 39,000 to Biden, 61% of the total. Biden still leads, with three "big" cities left to report anything. Am I weird for thinking MT is interesting right now?

If Biden wins MT, I can almost promise you its CA expats who moved there due to Covid - that is if they were within the registration window.

I am watching coverage on MSNBC, and a CNN commercial comes on and says for the best coverage, tune to CNN.

Wait....what?

 

[Biggles]

It's going to come down to PA, MI & WI ... & they currently give Trump a lead because they are incredibly slow at tabulating their urban votes. It's like the networks planned this to boost their ratings.

 

[ryzno]

Georgia just went into the red.

Whatcha y'all expect? Oh yeah, polls...