- 2,980
- The Ramapo Mountains
- jjaisli
But how many people like that are there actually? I would have expected more, & that they would have swung the election more decisively against Trump. If people voted for Trump this time, after 4 years of chaos, how likely is it that they will vote against him next time? The danger I see is that Biden will lose support from "Lincoln Project Republicans" - especially if he moves too far to the left - & from left wing Democrats - especially if he moves to far to the right, but why would anyone who voted for Trump in 2020 not vote for him again?
I can only provide anecdotal evidence from a dozen or so people (not all of whom voted for Biden) that they are despondent at what the Republican party has turned into. The central character in this is one friend in particular who had several hundred Facebook friends from his Long Island town where he was an active member of the town's Republican party Facebook page. He noticed already back during the 2016 election that the tone and mood of the members had changed and he wasn't happy about it. And over the last year, as he began to grow more vocal in his disagreement with several of Trump's policies, people simply turned on him with a level of vitriol that he wasn't prepared for. He was a hard core Republican for nearly 30 years and he was being called a liberal apologist and much, MUCH worse. And as he buckled down, and made a genuine effort to defend and explain his views, instead of engaging, real life friends, began unloading on him online to the point where he ended up deleting his Facebook account. He'll never consider himself a Democrat. But I won't even repeat here what he believes the "average" Republican voter has turned into. And he blames it largely on Trump. They all do. The anti-science, the anti-intellectual, the climate denial, the extremest evangelical views. All of them basically say that they didn't leave the party, the party left them.
I think there may be more of these people than is generally believed. And the fact that a lot of black and Latino voters, for various reasons, flipped and voted for Trump, where they didn't in 2016, or they may have simply stayed home, is an important point that Democrats going forward simply can't rely and count on their votes. And over the next two years they need to really sit down and figure out exactly who their base really is. Even the fringe elements. And they need to find ways to keep them there. If as you say, we don't want Trump, or somebody like him, back again in 2024.