So... the PS5 price, release date, and all the launch games will probably be confirmed within the next week or two. Even though I'm one of the negative ones who believes the game isn't going to come out for at least another 6-8 months, Here are the key things that confuse me about the games release window:
1. Gran Turismo 1, Gran Turismo 2, Gran Turismo 4, Gran Turismo Prologue, Gran Turismo 5, Gran Turismo 6, Gran Turismo Sport all released in the Holiday season, mostly in December. Even though I don't think it will, If it DID release in the next 3 months, it would be right on the target release date Polyphony tends to choose. Even if that is the target release behind the closed doors, it could still be delayed.
2. Noting the video @NickXD linked, they seem to be promoting the game as if it was releasing alongside the console or close to it. They featured Spider Man: Miles Morales, Ratchet & Clank, Gran Turismo 7, Demon Souls, Horizon: Forbidden West all in a 30 second TV-Spot. Thing to note is, Horizon: Forbidden West is scheduled for a '2021' release. That could be early 2021, or late 2021. Seems like Sony is counting on that being early 2021 considering they had it in their advert. That leaves Gran Turismo and Ratchet & Clank being the only ones on that list with no release details given, not even a '2020' or '2021'. Even though this advert doesn't tell us much, I think it's fair to say that GT7 wouldn't be in this TV-Spot if it was 12 months away, but anything is possible with how PD has been in the past. My friend told me he thinks Ratchet & Clank, and Gran Turismo 7 have no release details because those are the ones that will release on the same day as the console (which hasn't been announced yet). That's not my belief, I think its more likely Playstation, kinda like Xbox, is lacking launch games, and are just grasping for any content they can put in their TV-Spots.
3. I will admit, All of us could be underestimating the development time this game has already had. I can't recall any GT announcement having ACTUAL HD GAMEPLAY, a menu showcase, and what looks to be box art all ready to be shown to the public the day its announced. It's almost like the only thing they didn't have for us was the release date itself. I'm also pretty sure this is the first GT game to be announced alongside a new Playstation console, so their marketing strategy this time around could be completely different to what we are used to.
For those who believe its releasing this Holiday or early 2021, I don't blame you. I gotta admit, It definitely is starting to seem that way...
BUT..
The idea of having a next generation, flagship GT game in my hands 5-6 months after its reveal is almost not possible in my mind lol. That's not the Polyphony Digital that I know. I don't want to hype myself up just to be disappointed when they say it needs another year or two of development time, which would be the Polyphony that I'm used to. My prediction is still somewhere around Summer or Holiday 2021.
In summary: All I can say is, I'm gonna expect the worst, so I can be pleasantly surprised if its coming out sooner than we think.