The GTP Unofficial 2020 US Elections Thread

GTPlanet Exit Poll - Which Presidential Ticket Did You Vote For?

  • Trump/Pence

    Votes: 16 27.1%
  • Biden/Harris

    Votes: 20 33.9%
  • Jorgensen/Cohen

    Votes: 7 11.9%
  • Hawkins/Walker

    Votes: 1 1.7%
  • La Riva/Freeman

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • De La Fuente/Richardson

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Blankenship/Mohr

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Carroll/Patel

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Simmons/Roze

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Charles/Wallace

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other

    Votes: 15 25.4%

  • Total voters
    59
  • Poll closed .

*tunes in next week*

*total count has moved 1%*

@Famine PA just shifted .7% with 2% total count [from 85 to 87%]. If I pretend I paid attention in math class and try to extrapolate that...I get the remaining 13% shifting the vote 4.55%. He is only 3.3% behind, giving Biden a cushion 1.25%.

Edit: It just changed again, 3.2 at 88%. So that would be a .8% shift from 3% count since I measured it last. That equates to the remaining 12% shifting it 4%. That right there is a tighter margin, only a .8% win cushion, but clearly 1% of the total vote can carry a very large number of votes.

Total....Margin....Shift
84%.....4.2%......NA
85%.....4.0%......0.2%
(86......................0.35%)
87%.....3.3%......0.35%
88%.....3.1%......0.2%
89%.....2.6%......0.5%
(90%..................0.2%)
(91......................0.2%)
(92......................0.2%)
(93......................0.2%)
(94......................0.2%)
(95......................0.2%)
96%.....0.4%......0.2%
(97......................0.05%)
98%.....0.3%......0.05%
 
Last edited:
Over the last three hours Trump's lead in Pennsylvania has dropped from 423,160 to 207,365, with 13% still to come in...

Trump has, predictably, filed lawsuits in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia now as well. So this is how Trump's world ends, not with a bang, but with a WI MI PA.
facepalm.gif
 
So Trump is just regurgitating Breitbart articles on his Twitter feed now, probably because no legitimate media outlet is covering the stupid things he's shouting about.

Even Mitch "The Moscow Turtle" Mitch called for the votes to be counted. Although, my guess is he doesn't care about Trump anymore since he used him to get a huge advantage in the Supreme Court and thus has fulfilled his purpose.
Been happening the past couple weeks; reports of the GOP already abandoning Trump b/c he's no longer useful to them.

There was a similar thought brought forth tonight regarding Fox: there's a claim Trump called Murdoch demanding them to take back declaring Arizona and Murdoch hung up. The belief is even though Fox is Trump's biggest network, they are looking at a post-Trump presidency.
 
Last edited:
Been happening the past couple weeks; reports of the GOP already abandoning Trump b/c he's no longer useful to them.

There was a similar thought brought forth tonight regarding Fox: there's a claim Trump called Murdoch demanding them to take back declaring Arizona and Murdoch hung up. The belief is even though Fox is Trump's biggest network, they are looking at a post-Trump presidency.
He's not very good at emulating his inner Putin if he couldn't pull that off.
 
*tunes in next week*

*total count has moved 1%*

@Famine PA just shifted .7% with 2% total count [from 85 to 87%]. If I pretend I paid attention in math class and try to extrapolate that...I get the remaining 13% shifting the vote 4.55%. He is only 3.3% behind, giving Biden a cushion 1.25%.

Edit: It just changed again, 3.2 at 88%. So that would be a .8% shift from 3% count since I measured it last. That equates to the remaining 12% shifting it 4%. That right there is a tighter margin, only a .8% win cushion, but clearly 1% of the total vote can carry a very large number of votes.

Total.....Margin...Shift
84%.....4.2%......NA
85%.....4.0%......0.2%
87%.....3.3%......0.7%
88%.....3.2%......0.8%

It really depends what kind of votes are remain to be counted. It looks to me that there are number of Trump counties that haven't competed the count, as well as Philly & Pittsburgh. If the vote count in the Trump counties is primarily Democrat mail-in votes then I think Biden may take it. If it's a more balanced count that reflects the existing split then Trump may hang on.
 
It really depends what kind of votes are remain to be counted. It looks to me that there are number of Trump counties that haven't competed the count, as well as Philly & Pittsburgh. If the vote count in the Trump counties is primarily Democrat mail-in votes then I think Biden may take it. If it's a more balanced count that reflects the existing split then Trump may hang on.
That's exactly right, these absentee ballots favor Biden by like 65% nationally. In Michigan, they shifted Grand Rapids from slightly red to slightly blue tonight, and they might do the same thing to Erie Pennsylvania since only 83% are counted there. The rule of thumb here is that even in urban red counties, Biden will still gain faster than Trump due to the absentee factor, and/or that "blue shift" they keep talking about. The same may happen in Allentown where Trump is only 2.4% ahead but only 77% have been counted. And besides Philly and Pittsburgh, don't discount State College right in the middle, and that county immediately southwest of Philly.
 
Over the last three hours Trump's lead in Pennsylvania has dropped from 423,160 to 207,365, with 13% still to come in...

Trump has, predictably, filed lawsuits in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia now as well. So this is how Trump's world ends, not with a bang, but with a WI MI PA.

Who pays the legal fees on all these lawsuits? That can’t be cheap.
 
Australian betting agency, Sportsbet, are paying out early on Biden to win the election. There is millions of Aussie dollars bet on this result, so paying out early on the wrong candidate, then also needing to pay out on the other guy, would cost the agency a massive amount of money.
 
Been happening the past couple weeks; reports of the GOP already abandoning Trump b/c he's no longer useful to them.

There was a similar thought brought forth tonight regarding Fox: there's a claim Trump called Murdoch demanding them to take back declaring Arizona and Murdoch hung up. The belief is even though Fox is Trump's biggest network, they are looking at a post-Trump presidency.
I see Trump losing Fox before he loses the GOP. Losing Fox may actually be crucial to losing the GOP.

Edit: If Biden takes it, Fox will be too busy slamming him as he's actually in a position of power, while Trump will have lost his and won't be worth telefellating.

...

If it wasn't a word before, it's a word now.
 
Last edited:
So I'd like to know where you got the gumption...
Said I'd like to know where you got the gumption...
To knock the vote
Don't knock the vote, baby
Knock the vote
'Cause you think it's over
 
Last edited:

I love this guy. Why can't people like him lead this country?
He could lead the country. People like him. He's wholesome, thoughtful, empathetic, and sociable.

But he also likes being happy so I can see why he's never run for office.

So if neither Trump nor Biden get 50% in Georgia does it go to a runoff? :lol:
 
Last edited:
Trump is being given a little better than 3:1 odds in NC. Earlier Biden supposedly had no chance, but the needle came back.

Edit:

Put another way, Trump's chances in NC are better than Biden's chances in GA.

They stopped updating the needle. Oh well...

GA is at 39k
 
Speaking of GA and runoffs, big deal time: Ossoff is catching Perdue slowly but surely. Most of the Atlanta metro is still counting senate votes and they're all favoring Ossoff, as are Columbus, Macon, Augusta, Savannah, and other small ones. He's only 2.7% behind. It's plausible...definitely could bring Perdue below 50% and send them to a second runoff.

PA continues to get closer but AZ is getting closer the wrong way, rapidly according to NYT's chart.
 
Last edited:
AZ is getting closer the wrong way
Yep. I don't like the way that one is trending.

Maybe we should stop counting there! 💡

And I was born in Columbus, Ga so they better not fail me like my zombie votin' Dakotans. :irked:
 
Last edited:
Who are the votes expected from AZ still? What percentage reporting?

He reminds me of the promoter dude from Parks and Rec.
Ben Schwartz?

He reminds me of someone with whom I went to high school. I didn't feel any particular way about him, John Ossoff just bears striking resemblance. Mind you I haven't seen the guy in 30 years.
 
Who are the votes expected from AZ still? What percentage reporting?
86% reporting and the percentage per county is pretty similar across the state. It's going to be very tight.
 
Majority of the votes seem to be left in the blue counties. Maricopa has been flipped. It was red last year. That is where most of the remaining votes will be coming from - currently it's 51.8% Biden to 46.8% Trump.

If the rest of the votes follow roughly the same ratio for Maricopa, Arizona should stay blue.

edit: GA is around a 33,000 vote gap now with PA going down to 184,000.
 
Last edited:
So I'd like to know where you got the gumption...
Said I'd like to know where you got the gumption...
To knock the vote
Don't knock the vote, baby
Knock the vote
'Cause you think it's over
"I'd like to know when you filed the motion to lock the vote" might work better.
 
Last edited:
Back