101st Indianapolis 500- 28 May 2017Open Wheel 

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The 5 drivers who I think have a shot at winning, along with the chance they have to win in %. Guys like Ed Carpenter arent on my list because they are never a factor on raceday, they focus too much on putting it on pole. Marco just isnt talented enough, Montoya doesnt have the car this year, etc etc.

40% - Ryan Hunter-Reay - Car has alot of speed and he won this race recently, showing he has what it takes to win a last lap duel.

25% - Fernando Alonso - His success so far at Indy has proved once again it's a track that rewards talented, brave drivers. Hes taken care of the car, but more impressively he's shown courage and fearlessness in traffic, something he'll need to win a last lap duel and stay in contention throughout the race.

The big question mark is inexperience and that possibly leading to making a mistake. Pitting with 30 cars on pitlane is going to be new to him. The restarts will be new. Will he be able to understand what changes his car needs to go faster over the course of 500 miles? Everyone else will be adjusting their car throughout the race and making it better, he has to do so too. Does he make the mistake of taking out or adding too much downforce for the last 100 miles?

With everything said, I feel Alonso has a very good shot to win the race.

15% - Scott Dixon - He is fast, but I dont think he is aggressive enough of a driver to win one of these races in the current era of 'pack racing' cars (2012-present). The finish of 2012 kind of proved that. His wins came when the cars were able to gap eachother better and he was able to run out front by himself. Scott already has two 500 wins, I feel finishing the race and not crashing is more important to him then a 3rd 500 win. Thats his biggest weakness.

10% - Takuma Sato - Has alot of speed but has crashed out of so many 500s, you cant really trust him. But always seems to be in the hunt. And this year hes in a top car again.

10% - Alexander Rossi - Hes in a fast car but again, I question his hunger in the last 100 miles, especially since he already won it last year. On the other hand as a former winner and a fast qualifier his confidence will surely be high. But its hard imagining him pulling a Castroneves and winning the race in both of his first two starts.
There are 33 drivers with a shot at winning. ;)
 
Important questions have been asked.
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Weather in the American midwest is notoriously unpredictable and sometimes violent. Worst case is lightning - or tornado - forcing evacuation of the stands. There's ~300,000 people at the Speedway today.
 
Weather in the American midwest is notoriously unpredictable and sometimes violent. Worst case is lightning - or tornado - forcing evacuation of the stands. There's ~300,000 people at the Speedway today.
Which is a 100,000 less than it used to get. When was the last time the stands were evacuated?
 
Which is a 100,000 less than it used to get. When was the last time the stands were evacuated?
On a race day, 2007 maybe? It rained hard that day but I dont remember if they were severe storms.

International TV list.

Australia, New Zealand and Pacific Islands – ESPN

Austria – Sport 1

Belgium – BeTV

Brazil – BAND

Canada – Sportsnet and TVA Sports

Caribbean – ESPN

Czech Republic – Nova Sport

Finland – Elisa Viihde Sport

France – Canal +

Germany – Sport 1

Greece – Nova Sports

Hungary – Digi Sports

Israel – One Sports

Italy – Sky Sports

Japan – Gaora

Latin America (excluding Brazil) – ESPN

Netherlands – Ziggo Sports

Middle East and North Africa – OSN

Romania – Digi Sports

Portugal – Sport TV

Russia and CIS – Viasat Sport

Serbia & ex-Yugoslavia – Arena Sports

Slovakia – Nova Sport

South Africa – Supersport

Spain – Movistar

Switzerland – Sport 1

Sub-Saharan Africa – Kwese Sports

United Kingdom – BT Sport
 
Audi #29 wins nordschleife, double win for Ferrari in Monaco.
2/2 today for my personal favorites, lets make it 3/3 and get another 29 to win.

Go Alonso
 
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